US Open Daily Preview: The Women’s Semifinals - UBITENNIS
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US Open Daily Preview: The Women’s Semifinals

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Caroline Garcia on Tuesday in New York (twitter.com/usopen)

The women’s semifinals will take place on Thursday night in New York, headlined by the WTA’s two best players of 2022: Iga Swiatek and Ons Jabeur.  They will respectively face two resurgent players in Aryna Sabalenka and Caroline Garcia.  Which of these four women will advance to Saturday’s final, with one becoming a first-time US Open champion?

Also on Thursday, the men’s doubles semifinals will be decided, as well as the first women’s doubles semifinal.


Caroline Garcia (17) vs. Ons Jabeur (5) – 7:00pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium

What a roll Garcia has been on these last few months.  After winning her second women’s doubles title at Roland Garros, she won a title on grass on Bad Homburg, a title on clay in Warsaw, and a title on hard in Cincinnati.  And in Cincy, she came through qualifying to win the event.  Caroline is on 13-match win streak, and has also taken her last 13 sets.  In this tournament, no player has earned more than four games against her in a set, so she has completely dominated proceedings. 

Jabeur has contested many tight sets, yet only lost one of them.  She is vying for her second consecutive Major final after her disappointing loss in the championship match at Wimbledon, where she let a one-set-lead slip.  She is 43-13 on the year, yet hard courts have easily been her weakest surface, where eight of her losses have occurred.

Ons leads their head-to-head 2-0, with both matches occurring at hard court Majors: the 2019 US Open and the 2020 Australian Open.  And while Jabeur’s game has advanced since those victories, Garcia is a completely different player than she was a few years ago, and is brimming with confidence.  She has been stepping well into the court and blistering the ball, taking valuable time away from her opponents.  But can Garcia maintain that level in the biggest match of her career, her first Slam semifinal?  Based on the poise and determination she has displayed this fortnight, I like her chances.


Iga Swiatek (1) vs. Aryna Sabalenka (6) – Last on Arthur Ashe Stadium

Swiatek has not played her best tennis this summer, nor during this event.  After going on a 37-match win streak earlier in the season, which included her second Major title at Roland Garros, she went just 2-2 on hard courts in August prior to this tournament.  However, as champions do, she has persevered and advanced to this semifinal without her top level, still managing to only drop one set.

Even though Sabalenka was a semifinalist here a year ago, as well as at last year’s Wimbledon, it’s quite surprising to see her back at this stage at this time.  Aryna endured some terrible double fault issues this season, and in the second round last week, was down a set and 5-1 to Kaia Kanepi.  But after escaping that near-defeat, she’s played a lot more like the 2021 version of herself, defeating two of the WTA’s biggest hitters in Danielle Collins and Karolina Pliskova.

Swiatek is 3-1 against Sabalenka, with all four matches taking place within the past year.  Aryna prevailed 7-5 in the third at last November’s WTA Finals, but since then, it’s been all Iga.  The set scores in their three matches this year have been 6-2, 6-3, 6-2, 6-2, 6-2, and 6-1.  And Sabalenka has some serious scar tissue to overcome, as she’s 0-2 in Slam semis.  Last year in the same round of this event, she lost a heartbreaker to Leylah Fernandez 6-4 in the third, and Aryna had a bit of a meltdown at the end of that match.  All that makes Swiatek the favorite to reach her third Major final.


Other Notable Matches on Thursday:

Rajeev Ram and Joe Salisbury (1) vs. Juan Sebastian Cabal and Robert Farah (13) – The top seeds and defending champions are on an eight-match winning streak, coming off a title run in Cincinnati.  Cabal and Farah won this event in 2019, yet arrived in New York on a three-match losing streak.  When these teams met this season in Monte Carlo, Ram and Salisbury won in a third-set 10-point tiebreak.

Marcelo Arevalo and Jean-Julien Rojer (3) vs. Wesley Koolhof and Neal Skupski (2) – Arevalo and Rojer won this year’s French Open.  Koolhof and Skupski have easily been 2022’s best men’s doubles team, claiming six titles, but none of those have been Majors.  These teams have played three times this year, with Koolhof and Skupski winning each time.

Nicole Melichar-Martinez and Ellen Perez (10) vs. Barbora Krejcikova and Katerina Siniakova (3) – Krejcikova and Siniakova are two wins away from their third Major of the year, and their sixth overall, which would complete their career Grand Slam.  Melichar-Martinez and Perez are the WTA’s hottest team, reaching three consecutive finals in August, and winning the title in Cleveland.  They defeated Krejcikova and Siniakova in Cincinnati, but lost to them in the Wimbledon quarterfinals.


Thursday’s full Order of Play is here.

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Madrid Open Daily Preview: Carlos Alcaraz Faces an Accomplished Clay Court Opponent

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Carlos Alcaraz on Friday in Madrid (twitter.com/MutuaMadridOpen)

Sunday features third round singles matches from both the ATP and WTA draws.

On Saturday, a red-hot Stefanos Tsitsipas was stunned by a talented clay court player from Brazil, Thiago Monteiro.  On Sunday, Carlos Alcaraz plays another Brazilian, Thiago Seyboth Wild, who won 56 clay court matches at all levels last season. 

Other third round action on Sunday includes 2024 WTa titleholders Aryna Sabalenka, Elena Rybakina, and Danielle Collins, as well as a WTA matchup between two top 20 seeds who are both having good seasons: Daria Kasatkina and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

Each day, this preview will analyze the two most intriguing matchups, while highlighting other notable matches on the schedule.  Sunday’s play gets underway at 11:00am local time.


Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (20) vs. Daria Kasatkina (10) – Not Before 1:00pm on Arantxa Sanchez Stadium

Kasatkina is 17-9 on the year, having reached three finals (Adelaide, Abu Dhabi, Charleston).  She’s only 9-7 lifetime in Madrid, and had to come from a-set-and-two-breaks down in the last round against Cristina Bucsa.  But clay is certainly Daria’s best surface, as she holds nearly twice as many wins at Roland Garros than any other Major.

Pavlyuchenkova went all the way to the final at Roland Garros just three years ago, then was sidelined by injury in 2022, but returned to the quarterfinals again in 2023.  She’s 19-9 this season, and advanced to the semis in Madrid the same year as her French Open final.  Anastasia defeated Daria Saville in straight sets on Friday.

Kasatkina is 4-2 against Pavlyuchenkova, and also took their only clay court meeting, which was a straight-set victory at this same tournament a year ago.  I expect this contest to be tighter, though I still consider Daria a slight favorite.


Thiago Seyboth Wild vs. Carlos Alcaraz – Not Before 4:00pm on Manolo Santana Stadium

Alcaraz wore a sleeve on his injured right arm in his opening round, after withdrawing from both Monte Carlo and Barcelona due to the injury.  But it did not appear to at all impact his performance, as he beat Alexander Shevchenko 6-2, 6-1.  Carlitos is the two-time defending champion in Madrid, and is on a 12-match win streak at this event.

Seyboth Wild won a total of 61 matches last year at all levels, with only five of those not coming on clay.  He reached five Challenger finals on this surface in 2023, winning four of them.  Thiago is just 10-11 at tour level in 2024, and lost his first six matches of the year, though he scored a nice win in the last round over Lorenzo Musetti.

In their first career meeting, of course Alcaraz should be favored.  But this is a dangerous draw on clay, especially for a player who is not currently at their physical best.


Other Notable Matches on Sunday:

Mayar Sherif vs. Elena Rybakina (4) – Rybakina ousted Italy’s Lucia Bronzetti in straight sets on Friday.  On the same day, Sherif upset the 25th seed, Marta Kostyuk.  When these players met two years ago in Cincinnati, Elena won in straights.

Andrey Rublev (7) vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (27) – Rublev arrived in Madrid on a four-match losing streak, as his on-court outbursts have resulted in a dip in form.  Davidovich Fokina is just 9-9 on the year, but the Spaniard did advance to the fourth round of this event a year ago.  Andrey is 3-0 against Alejandro, which includes two clay court victories.

Marketa Vondrousova (7) vs. Mirra Andreeva – The Wimbledon champ is now 4-1 on clay in 2024, and she upset Sabalenka in Stuttgart a week ago.  Andreeva came from a set down to eliminate another Czech player, Linda Noskova, on Friday. 

Robin Montgomery (WC) vs. Aryna Sabalenka (2) – Sabalenka overcame Magda Linette in three sets on Friday, while Montgomery, a 19-year-old lefty, ousted Katie Boulter. 

Danielle Collins (13) vs. Jaqueline Cristian (Q) – Collins is now on a 14-match win streak, after surviving a third-set tiebreak in the last round.  Cristian came through qualifying and has won four matches to reach this stage, which included an upset of Roland Garros champ Barbora Krejcikova. 

Denis Shapovalov (PR) vs. Sascha Zverev (4) – Zverev comfortably defeated Borna Coric in his opening round.  Shapovalov is currently ranked outside the top 100, as he’s struggled with injury since last season, but he earned an impressive win on Friday over Tomas Martin Etcheverry.  Sascha leads their head-to-head 5-3, and claimed their only meeting on this surface.


Sunday’s full Order of Play is here.

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Rafael Nadal Produces Vintage Performance In Madrid, Gains Revenge Over De Minaur

Rafael Nadal recorded one of the best wins of the last couple of years by defeating Alex De Minaur in Madrid.

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(@RelevantTennis - Twitter)

Rafael Nadal was back to his brilliant best as he defeated Alex De Minaur 7-6(6) 6-3 to reach the third round in Madrid.

The 23-time Grand Slam champion was in great form as he produced vintage shot-making to claim a straight sets win over the Australian.

This match was a rematch from their contest in Barcelona which De Minaur won in straight sets.

In that contest, Nadal had ran out of gas but there were no signs of that happening here as he grabbed the early break for 2-0.

After a moment of controversy involving not challenging, Nadal quickly conceded the break and momentum to De Minaur who progressively was more aggressive.

The Australian’s consistent power from the baseline was rewarded as he took a break for 4-3 and what seemed to be control of the match.

However Nadal was not going to bow down easily as he was playing much better than he did in Barcelona, breaking immediately back as the opening set went to a tiebreak.

After gaining a 6-2 lead, Nadal became tight as the finish line neared with De Minaur taking the next four points.

However Nadal held his nerve to send the Caja Magica wild, taking a 76 minute opening set.

It was one way traffic from then on as Nadal was hitting insane backhand cross-court winners and dominating the baseline rallies.

De Minaur’s tactic of drop-shots did not seem to work as the Australian was broken at the start of the second set.

This time Nadal did not surrender so quickly and the Spaniard kept holding serve before breaking again to seal a phenomenal victory.

After the match Nadal admitted that the win means a lot to him, “I’m super happy to be able to be competitive against a great player like Alex, play over two hours,” Nadal told the ATP website.

“It means a lot to me and the atmosphere here is just a joke, so I can’t thank enough everybody here. If I am able to play weeks in a row and if I am able to play tennis, then I’m going to see how far I can go and how competitive I could be. But that’s not the case yet, just step by step and let’s see how I recover.”

Nadal will now aim to reach the last 16 when he faces Argentinian Pedro Cachin, who knocked out Frances Tiafoe in three sets.

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Iga Swiatek Gets Inspiration And Tips From Skiing Great Vonn At Madrid Open

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Iga Swiatek admits she doesn’t follow many athletes but one of those she does has given her ‘tips’ during this year’s Madrid Open. 

The world No.1 continued her quest for a maiden title in the Spanish capital on Saturday with a one-sided 6-1, 6-1, win over Sorana Cirstea in the third round. Claiming her 26th win of the season so far against only four losses. Swiatek won 66% of her first service points and broke the Romanian six times. 

During her time in Madrid, Swiatek was seen speaking to skiing legend Lindsey Vonn, who is a multiple Olympic and World Championship medalist in her sport. The American was also in the stands watching the tennis player in action during her opening match against Wang Xiyu. 

‘I look up to her,” Swiatek said of Vonn after beating Cirstea. “I didn’t have a lot of athletes that I followed but she was one of them when she skied. I also read her biography and I found huge inspiration from that.
“We met a couple of times already and we always talk for a longer time than I usually do. 
“I feel like for sure she’s a person to talk to if I need advice or I just want to talk to somebody who is cool because she’s really cool.”

As to what the two speak about, Swiatek revealed that she has received some advice regarding her ‘mental game.’ Although she did not shed any light on what that was. 

“We have been kind of talking about the mental game here (in Madrid). She gave me some tips,” Swiatek continued.
“You can feel like her power even with the way she talks and her confidence. So for sure this is something that I might learn from her.”

The 22-year-old hopes that the advice could help her triumph in Madrid which is the only big European clay court event she is yet to win in her career. Although she did reach the final 12 months ago before losing to Aryna Sabalenka. It has been more than a decade since the Women’s title was won by the top seed in Madrid. 

Swiatek will play Sara Sorribes Tormo in the next round.

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