US Open Daily Preview: Rafael Nadal Plays Frances Tiafoe in the Fourth Round - UBITENNIS
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US Open Daily Preview: Rafael Nadal Plays Frances Tiafoe in the Fourth Round

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Rafael Nadal on Saturday night in New York (twitter.com/usopen)

Rafael Nadal is now an undefeated 22-0 at Majors this season.  While he is not contending for the calendar Grand Slam due to his withdrawal from the Wimbledon semifinals, Rafa is just four matches away from his third Major of the year, and his record-extending 23rd overall.  But on Monday, he faces a confident and popular American in Frances Tiafoe.

Monday’s schedule features many highly-appealing fourth round contests.  They include four other Major singles champions, as well as Australian Open finalist Danielle Collins and 19-year-old phenom Carlos Alcaraz.

Throughout the tournament, this preview will analyze the day’s four most prominent matches, while highlighting the other notable matches on the schedule.  Monday’s play begins at 11:00am local time.


Frances Tiafoe (22) vs. Rafael Nadal (2) – Second on Arthur Ashe Stadium

The only time Tiafoe advanced to the quarterfinals at a Major, three years ago in Australia, Nadal controlled proceedings 6-3, 6-4, 6-2.  A few months later on clay in Madrid, Rafa again easily prevailed 6-3, 6-4.  But in 2022, Frances feels he is now prepared to challenge Nadal.  In speaking to the press after his thrilling third-round victory over Diego Schwartzman, Tiafoe said, “Now I believe I can beat him.  I’m definitely going to come after him.”  As great as Nadal has been this season, with a record of 38-4, he could be a bit vulnerable.  Rafa has only played four matches in the past two months, and lost the opening set in his first two matches of this fortnight with some sloppy play.  And while Nadal will have plenty of support amongst the 23,000 fans inside Arthur Ashe Stadium, the American crowd will be mostly pulling for Tiafoe, especially as he’s the underdog.  So while it’s hard not to favor Rafa, a Frances upset would not be shocking.  Tiafoe plays his best in front of energized crowds, and has been working hard for a moment like this.


Victoria Azarenka (26) vs. Karolina Pliskova (22) – Third on Louis Armstrong Stadium

This is only the second time this season Azarenka has won three matches in a row, with the other being the other hard court Major in Melbourne.  But hard court Majors are her specialty, as she’s a five-time finalist as such events.  Pliskova has reached two Slam finals of her own, including here in 2016, and seems to be peaking at this time.  Karolina has now claimed eight of her last 10 matches, and pulled out a grueling three-set win over Belinda Bencic in the last round.  She is playing to reach her fifth US Open quarterfinal out of the last seven years.  Azarenka and Pliskova are 4-4 lifetime against each other, and they haven’t played in over three years.  But on these fast courts, I give the slight edge to Pliskova and her powerful game.


Danielle Collins (19) vs. Aryna Sabalenka (6) – 7:00pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium

Speaking of powerful games, these are two of the sport’s hardest ball strikers, and fiercest competitors.  Collins missed all of the hard court lead-up events before this tournament to rest an injury, and it paid off, as she’s not dropped a set through three rounds.  And that includes two impressive victories over Naomi Osaka and Alize Cornet.  Sabalenka has suffered from some severe double fault issues throughout the year, yet has still fought her way to some good results.  Aryna was a semifinalist a few weeks ago in Cincinnati, where she lost to eventual champion Caroline Garcia.  And she is 3-0 against Collins, which includes two matches at the US Open within the last four years.  However, Danielle was also 0-3 against Osaka before their first round matchup.  And the American’s current form is reminiscent of her run to the final this past January in Australia, when she was dictating play with her ferocious backhand.  Her return game, combined with Sabalenka’s problematic serve, makes Collins the favorite to reach her fourth Major quarterfinal.


Marin Cilic (15) vs. Carlos Alcaraz (3) – Last on Arthur Ashe Stadium

Alcaraz has looked sharp in his first three matches, not dropping a set.  Carlitos leads the ATP with 47 match wins, and with another victory on Monday, would become the youngest man to achieve back-to-back US Open quarterfinals in 70 years.  Of course Cilic was the champion here eight years ago, and was a semifinalist three months ago in Paris.  This is a rematch from a few weeks ago in Cincinnati, where Alcaraz was victorious in straight sets.  He also defeated Marin earlier this year on another American hard court in Miami, while Marin got the best of Carlitos last year on clay in Estoril.  But Alcaraz remains the favorite to earn his third straight victory over Cilic of the year on this surface and in this country.


Other Notable Matches on Monday:

Cameron Norrie (7) vs. Andrey Rublev (9) – This is an elite battle between two top 10 seeds.  Norrie has advanced economically, having yet to drop a set.  Rublev survived two five-setters in the first week, including a fifth-set tiebreak in the last round over Denis Shapovalov.  They split two previous meetings, both on hard courts.

Iga Swiatek (1) vs. Jule Niemeier – Swiatek has dominated in her first three rounds, as she has for much of this year, allowing her opposition only 15 games across six sets.  Niemeier was a surprise quarterfinalist at Wimbledon, as she had never won a main draw match at a Major prior to that fortnight.  This first career meeting should be a lot of fun to watch given their contrasting styles.

Petra Kvitova (21) vs. Jessica Pegula (8) – Kvitova saved two match points against fellow two-time Slam champ Garbine Muguruza in an epic match on Saturday.  Pegula is the third best WTA player of 2022, and is vying for her fourth quarterfinal out of the last eight Majors.  Petra is 2-0 against Jess, which includes a match two years ago at this event.

Ilya Ivashka vs. Jannik Sinner (11) – Ivashka has matched his best result at a Slam with this fourth round appearance.  Sinner has reached this stage at five consecutive Slams, and is looking for this third Slam quarterfinal of the year.  This is another first-time encounter.


Monday’s full Order of Play is here.

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Paris Olympics Daily Preview: Osaka Plays Kerber, Nadal Teams with Alcaraz

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Naomi Osaka practicing this week in Paris (twitter.com/ITFTennis)

Olympic tennis gets underway on Saturday in Paris, on the grounds of Roland Garros.

While not traditionally thought of as an Olympic sport, the tennis event at the last several Summer Olympic Games has provided some of the sport’s most memorable and emotional moments.  Representing their country at the Olympics is one of the biggest achievements in the lives of many tennis players, and the 2024 event being staged at Roland Garros is unquestionably a very special one.

This will be the last tournament in the careers of a pair of three-time Major champions: Andy Murray and Angelique Kerber.  And this will be the last Olympics, and likely the last time playing at Roland Garros, for 14-time French Open champion Rafael Nadal.  Rafa’s status for singles is in doubt, but he is committed to playing men’s doubles alongside four-time Major champ Carlos Alcaraz.

Nadal and Alcaraz will play their opening round doubles match on Saturday evening, while Kerber faces fellow multi-time Major champ Naomi Osaka in a blockbuster first round contest to close out the night session.  The day session sees both of the top seeds in the singles draws, Novak Djokovic and Iga Swiatek, play their opening round matches.

The draws for men’s singles, women’s singles, men’s doubles, women’s doubles, and mixed doubles will all be played across the next nine days in Paris.

Throughout the tournament, this preview will analyze the day’s most prominent matches, while highlighting the other notable matches on the schedule.  Saturday’s play begins at 12:00pm local time.


Maximo Gonzalez and Andres Molteni [ARG] (6) vs. Carlos Alcaraz and Rafael Nadal [ESP] – 7:00pm on Court Philippe-Chatrier

Eight years ago, Nadal won the gold medal in men’s singles at the Rio Olympics, alongside Marc Lopez.  And eight years before that, he claimed the gold medal in men’s singles at the Beijing Olympics, notably defeating Novak Djokovic in the semifinals.  Now he goes for a third gold medal, teaming with the reigning Roland Garros and Wimbledon men’s singles champion.

But this is a physically compromised, 38-year-old version of Rafa, who has only played six events within the last 18 months.  And while he reached the final just last week in Bastad, that run apparently took a toll on his body.  There are reports he may be pulling out of the singles draw in Paris, as a four-hour quarterfinal match last week against Mariano Navone certainly drained the King of Clay. 

This will be the first time these two Spanish all-time greats team up, and both have rarely played doubles in their careers.  By contrast, Gonzalez and Molteni are both top 20 doubles players.  And while they didn’t team together during the grass court season, they’ve won seven titles together within the last 18 months.

However, facing these two Roland Garros champions on Court Philippe-Chatrier will be a daunting task.  And Nadal should be less hampered on the doubles court than the singles court.  I expect Rafa and Carlitos to embrace the energy of the Saturday night crowd in Paris, and advance to the next round.


Naomi Osaka [JPN] vs. Angelique Kerber [GER] – Last on Court Philippe-Chatrier

Both of these players returned from maternity at the start of the year, though neither has yet rediscovered their top form.  26-year-old Osaka has shown glimpses of it, specifically two months ago at this same venue, when she was just a point away from upsetting Iga Swiatek.  36-year-old Kerber is just 7-14 since returning, and arrives in Paris on a five-match losing streak.  Angie announced earlier this week that she will retire from the sport following these Olympic Games.

These two sure-fire Hall of Famers played six times between 2017 and 2022, with Kerber taking four of those six encounters.  However, most of those occurred while Angie was at her best, and before Naomi had reached her top level.  They’ve never before played on clay, which is certainly neither’s favorite surface.

In the last tournament of her career, Kerber will be extra motivated to achieve a good result.  And she’s done so before at the Olympics, as she was the silver medalist back in 2016.  At the last Olympics in Tokyo, Osaka seemed distracted and overwhelmed playing in her home country’s Games.  But this season, she’s been extremely focused on her tennis, and has dedicated herself to better acclimating to playing on clay.  Based on her performance in Paris two months ago, I like Naomi’s chances of prevailing on Saturday, and thus ending Angie’s singles career.


Other Notable Matches on Saturday:

Iga Swiatek [POL] (1) vs. Irina-Camelia Begu [ROU] – Swiatek is 21-1 this year on clay, and is on a 19-match win streak on this surface.  Three years ago at Wimbledon, she thumped Begu by a score of 6-1, 6-0.

Jack Draper [GBR] vs. Kei Nishikori [JPN] – Nishikori was a bronze medalist at the Rio Olympics, but injuries have only allowed him to play four ATP events across the last three seasons.  Draper currently sits at a career-high ranking of No.26, thanks to 21 match wins in 2024.

Novak Djokovic [SRB[ (1) vs. Matthew Ebden [AUS] – An Olympic gold medal is the one glaring blemish on the Djokovic CV, and at 37 years of age, this will most certainly be his last good chance to win the gold for Serbia, which might mean more to Novak than any of his other career accomplishments.  Ebden replaces Andy Murray in the singles draw, and the Australian hasn’t played a singles match in over two years, as the ITF bizarrely uses doubles players already on site as singles alternates.

Hady Habib [LBN] vs. Carlos Alcaraz [ESP] (2) – Alcaraz will play both singles and doubles on Saturday, and he’s now 33-6 on the year in singles, coming off his fourth Major title at Wimbledon.  Habib is a 25-year-old representing Lebanon who has never been ranked inside the world’s top 250.

Rinky Hijikata [AUS] vs. Daniil Medvedev [AIN] (4) – Three years ago at the Tokyo Olympics, Medvedev lost in the quarterfinals to eventual bronze medalist Pablo Carreno Busta.  Hijikata peaked at No.70 in singles last season, but is just 10-16 in 2024.

Coco Gauff and Jessica Pegula [USA] (1) vs. Ellen Perez and Daria Saville [AUS] – Gauff will be the flag bearer for the United States during Friday’s opening ceremony, after missing the Tokyo Games due to COVID.  Her and Pegula are regular partners, while Perez and Saville are not, though Perez is a top 10 doubles player.


Saturday’s full Order of Play is here.

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Matteo Berrettini extends his winning streak to eight consecutive matches to reach the semifinal in Kitzbuehl

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Matteo Berrettini beat world number 143 Nicolas Moreno De Alboran 7-6 (7-5) 6-3 in their first head-to-head match to reach the semifinal at the Generali Open in Kitzbuhel. Berrettini has extended his winning streak to eight consecutive matches. 

Berrettini hit seven aces, dropped just five points on his first serve and saved all three break points. 

Berrettini, who was outside the top 150 last March, returned to the top 50 after claiming his ninth career title in Gstaad.

The first three games featured a total of three break points. Both players went on serve en route to the tie-break. De Alboran earned the first mini-break to take a 4-3 lead, but Berrettini won four consecutive points from 3-5 down to claim the tie-break 7-5. Berrettini improved to 9-0 in tie-breaks during the past two tournaments. 

The second set went on serve until the eighth game when Berrettini earned his decisive break to take a 5-3 lead. The 2021 Wimbledon finalist sealed the win on his first match point after a double fault from De Alboran. 

Berrettini set up a semifinal match against Yannik Hanfmann, who beat Thago Seyboth Wild 7-6 (7-2) 6-4. 

“I am really happy with the performance, I have never played against him so I did not really what to expect. It was a really high level of tennis and I think he was playing and serving really well, hitting the forehand really well, so I had to dig deep with my energy and my level”, said Berrettini.

Hugo Gaston battled past Sebastian Baez 7-5 5-7 7-6 (8-6) in 3 hours and 8 minutes. Gaston saved two match point as he won the last four points of the tie-break in the third set. The Frenchman fended off 12 of the 16 break points.

Gaston set up a semifinal clash against Pedro Martinez, who came back from one set down to beat Pedro Martinez 6-7 (2-7) 6-3 6-4 in 3 hours and 32 minutes.   

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Novak Djokovic’s Potential Second Round Clash With Rafael Nadal Headlines Olympics Draw

Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic could meet in the second round of the Olympics.

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(@TheTennisLetter - Twitter)

Novak Djokovic’s potential second round clash with Rafael Nadal headlines an exciting Olympics draw.

The draw was done this morning for the Olympic Games which will take place at Roland Garros.

After Andy Murray’s late withdrawal from the singles event, the next big headline would take place in the men’s singles draw as Novak Djokovic could collide with Rafael Nadal in the second round.

It would be a titanic tussle between two of the best players of all time but first Djokovic will have to get past doubles specialist Matthew Ebden while Nadal takes on Hungarian Marton Fucsovics in the opening round.

Djokovic is the top seed after Jannik Sinner’s withdrawal and could play Hamburg champion Arthur Fils in the third round before a potential quarter-final clash with Stefanos Tsitsipas.

Meanwhile as for Carlos Alcaraz the Spaniard will begin against Hady Habib in the opening round and could face Cameron Norrie in the second round with the Brit facing Tallon Griekspoor in his opener.

Other key obstacles in his half of the draw are Rome finalist Alejandro Tabilo, Alex De Minaur and Casper Ruud.

Here are some of the other key matches in the men’s singles draw in the first round:

Lorenzo Musetti v Gael Monfils

Jack Draper v Kei Nishikori

Alexander Bublik v Taylor Fritz

Alex De Minaur v Jan-Lennard Struff

Kerber and Osaka first round clash headlines Women’s Singles Draw

In the Women’s singles draw the headline clash will see Naomi Osaka take on Angelique Kerber in a battle of the Grand Slam champions.

Kerber has announced this morning that this will be her final tournament of her career before retiring.

The winner of that match could take on Elena Rybakina in the second round with the Kazakh beginning her campaign against Jaqueline Cristian.

Rybakina has landed in Iga Swiatek’s half of the draw with the world number one beginning against Irina-Camelia Begu with the in-form Diana Schnaider awaiting in the third round.

In the bottom half of the draw, Coco Gauff will begin her campaign against Ajla Tomljanovic with Wimbledon semi-finalist Donna Vekic awaiting in the third round.

Wimbledon champion Barbora Krejcikova will face Sara Sorribes Tormo with Jessica Pegula awaiting in the third round.

Stefanos Tsitsipas, Rafael Nadal and Andy Murray headline doubles draw

In the doubles draws, Andy Murray will compete in his last ever tournament as he and Dan Evans are drawn against Taro Daniel and Kei Nishikori in the first round.

The dream duo of Carlos Alcaraz and Rafael Nadal face sixth seeds Maximo Gonzalez and Andres Molteni.

Meanwhile the Tsitsipas brothers face Nuno Borges and Francisco Cabral while Daniil Medvedev and Roman Safiullin face second seeds Kevin Krawietz and Tim Puetz.

The headline match of the men’s doubles is Taylor Fritz and Tommy Paul facing Felix Auger-Aliassime and Milos Raonic.

On the women’s side top seeds Coco Gauff and Jessica Pegula take on Ellen Perez and Daria Saville.

Also featuring in the draw are Caroline Garcia, Angelique Kerber, Barbora Krejcikova and Maria Sakkari.

The events start on Saturday and will conclude a week later.

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