WTA Finals & ATP Paris Masters Daily Preview: Rafael Nadal Returns to Action - UBITENNIS
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WTA Finals & ATP Paris Masters Daily Preview: Rafael Nadal Returns to Action

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Rafael Nadal practicing in Bercy on Tuesday (twitter.com/RolexPMasters)

Outside of his Laver Cup doubles match with a retiring Roger Federer, Wednesday will mark Rafael Nadal’s first match is nearly two months, since he was upset in the fourth round of the US Open by Frances Tiafoe.  In his return, Nadal faces Tommy Paul, who defeated another Spaniard, Roberto Bautista Agut, on Tuesday.  Other action in Paris includes big names such as Carlos Alcaraz, Daniil Medvedev, and Stefanos Tsitsipas.

 

In Fort Worth, the second round of round-robin action begins.  After the higher seeds in this group were both upset on Monday, Ons Jabeur and Jessica Pegula will play each other to secure their first win, while Maria Sakkari and Aryna Sabalenka will do battle to remain undefeated.  As per the WTA, Wednesday’s advancement and eliminations possibilities are as follows:

  • If Sakkari wins in straights, she advances.
  • If Sakkari and Pegula both win, Sakkari advances and Jabeur is eliminated.
  • If Sabalenka and Jabeur both win, Sabalenka advances and Pegula is eliminated.
  • If Pegula loses in straights, she is eliminated.

Each day, this preview will analyze the most intriguing matchup from both the WTA Finals and the ATP Paris Masters, while highlighting the other matches on the schedules.  Wednesday’s play in Paris begins at 11:00am local time, while play in Fort Worth begins at 3:00pm local time.


Tommy Paul vs Rafael Nadal – Not Before 7:30pm on Court Central in Paris

Despite dealing with injuries throughout the season, Nadal is 38-5 with four titles, including two Majors.  But since withdrawing from the Wimbledon semifinals, he’s only played five singles matches in four months.  Paul has collected 36 wins this year, but went just 3-3 in October.  However, he does own two victories in 2022 over top five opposition (Zverev, Alcaraz), both on hard courts.  Their only prior matchup occurred earlier this season in Acapulco, with Rafa prevailing in straight sets.  Based on Nadal’s lack of match play, and at only one of two Masters 1000 tournaments he’s never won, an upset on Wednesday would not be shocking.  But Rafa has never failed to reach the quarterfinals or better in his eight appearances in Bercy, and he’s continued to find ways to win this year, often without being in top form.  


Maria Sakkari (5) vs. Aryna Sabalenka (7) – Not Before 7:00pm in Fort Worth

Sakkari overcame Pegula in two tiebreaks on Monday, while Sabalenka outlasted Jabeur in a grueling three-setter.  Both Maria and Aryna share a common bond: suffering some heartbreaking losses in semifinals across the past two seasons.  Sakkari lost two Major semifinals last year, even holding a match point at Roland Garros against eventual champion Barbora Krejcikova.  She also went down in defeat in the semis of this event a year ago.  Sabalenka has now lost three Slam semis, all of which ended 6-4 in the third.  Aryna is 4-2 against Maria, with all six matches taking place on hard courts.  The most recent one was a year ago at this same event, when Sakkari was victorious during round-robin play in three sets.  But based on their history, as well as Sabalenka’s come-from-behind win over Jabeur in a high-quality affair, I give a confident Aryna the slight edge on Wednesday.


Other Notable Matches on Wednesday:

Stefanos Tsitsipas (5) vs. Dan Evans – Tsitsipas is 56-21 this season, yet has only accumulated two titles despite seven appearances in finals.  He is 3-0 against Evans, with the Brit managing only 12 games across their six sets contested.

Daniil Medvedev (4) vs. Alex de Minaur – Medvedev is 45-15 in 2022, and is coming off a title run last week in Vienna.  De Minaur took out Sebastian Korda after an extended late-night battle on Monday night.  Daniil leads their head-to-head 4-0.

Mikael Ymer (Q) vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime (8) – Auger-Aliassime is the hottest player on tour, with 13 consecutive wins, three titles in as many weeks, and 86 straight service holds.  He is 1-0 against Ymer, having defeated him in four sets last year at Wimbledon.

Carlos Alcaraz (1) vs. Yoshihito Nishioka – Alcaraz holds a significant 830-point lead over Nadal in the race for the year-end No.1.  He is 55-12 on the year, though went just 3-2 in October.  Nishioka was the champion in Seoul a month ago.

Taylor Fritz (9) vs. Gilles Simon (WC) – Fritz needs to win the title this week to qualify for the ATP Finals.  A retiring Simon came back from a set and 3-5 down on Monday to upset Andy Murray and extend his career by at least one more match.  They have split two previous meetings.

Hubert Hurkacz (10) vs. Holger Rune – Like Fritz, Hurkacz needs to win the title to qualify for Turin.  Rune defeated Stan Wawrinka in a tight three-setter on Tuesday evening. 

Ons Jabeur (2) vs. Jessica Pegula (3) – Jabeur is 3-2 against Pegula, and claimed both of their encounters this season.  Their most prominent matchup was this year in the final of Madrid, where Ons prevailed in three sets.


Wednesday’s full Order of Play at the WTA Finals is here, and the Paris Masters schedule is here.

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Gael Monfils Targets Spot At Home Olympics Before Retirement 

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Image via ATP Twitter

Gael Monfils may be starting his 2023 season later than usual but he isn’t contemplating stepping away from the sport anytime soon. 

 

The former top 10 star has been absent from the Tour since August due to a foot problem during what has been an injury-stricken year for the Frenchman. Monfils also missed the French Open and Wimbledon due to a heel injury which required surgery. Overall, he has won 14 out of 21 matches played on the Tour in 2022. 

Providing an update on his current fitness during an interview with Canal+, Monfils confirmed that he will not be playing at the Australian Open in January which will be the fourth major tournament in a row he has missed. Whilst his recovery is progressing well, he is targeting a return during the clay season which concludes at the French Open. He is also unable to access his protected ranking at Melbourne Park because the rulebook states that a player must be absent for at least six months to be eligible. 

“I know that there is a protected ranking, when you don’t play for a certain amount of months. I know that if I take it, I have to not play the Australian Open to reach the six months needed and that will be my decision,” Tennis Head quotes Monfils as saying.

However, the 36-year-old isn’t planning to stop playing just yet with aspirations to play at his home Olympic Games, which will be held in Paris in 2024. Monfils is already a three-time Olympian and has reached the quarter-finals of the singles tournament twice before. 

Despite some speculation over his retirement, Monfils hopes to continue playing until the age of 40. Although he admits this depends on his family after he and his wife Elina Svitolina welcomed their first child earlier this year.

“2023 is an important year for me, a year of transition, transition between my injuries and the fact to be competitive to try to qualify for Paris 2024. I would not like to miss the Olympics, it would be my last one,” he added.
“I hope that 2024 would not be my last year but maybe the one after that. Before, I said that I wanted to play until I’m 40 but the more time I spend with my daughter, the more time I’m thinking maybe I’ll play a bit less.”

Monfils has won 11 Tour titles so far in his career, including this year’s Adelaide International. He has reached at least one final every year since 2005. 

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The Year-End Rankings: The Rise Of Alcaraz And The Eternals, Djokovic and Nadal

Image via ATP Twitter

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By Roberto Ferri

Let’s start our last article on the ATP rankings by quoting the words which are said to be the last of emperor Augustus: “The play is over, applaud”.

 

We cannot but applaud Novak Djokovic, six-time ATP Finals winner just like Roger Federer. And we applaud the season, which, for good or ill, has been unique. Just consider the most striking events: Carlos Alcaraz rising to No. 1, Roger Federer’s retirement, all the issues involving Djokovic and the Wimbledon affair.  

The top positions of the ranking have been significantly impacted by Djokovic’s absence from two Majors (Australian Open and US Open), four Masters 1000 (Indian Wells, Miami Open, Canadian Open, Cincinnati) and by ATP’s decision to not award points for Wimbledon.

If we compare the ATP rankings published after the ATP Finals in 2021 and 2022, this fact is clearly noticeable. 

22 NOVEMBER 2021

PositionPlayerCountryPts 
1DjokovicSerbia11540
2MedvedevRussia8640
3ZverevGermany7840
4TsitsipasGreece6540
5RublevRussia5150
6NadalSpain4875
7BerrettiniItaly4568
8RuudNorway4160
9HurkaczPoland3706
10SinnerItaly3350
11Auger-AliassimeCanada3308
12NorrieGB2945
13SchwartzmanArgentina2625
14ShapovalovCanada2475
15ThiemAustria2425
16FedererSwitzerland2385
17GarinChile2353
18KaratsevRussia2351
19Bautista AgutSpain2260
20Carreno BustaSpain2230

14 NOVEMBER 2022:

PositionPlayerCountryPts
1AlcarazSpain6820
2NadalSpain6020
3RuudNorway5820
4TsitsipasGreece5550
5DjokovicSerbia4820
6Auger-AliassimeCanada4195
7MedvedevRussia4065
8RublevRussia3930
9FritzUSA3355
10HurkaczPoland2905
11RuneDenmark2888
12ZverevGermany2700
13Carreno BustaSpain2495
14NorrieGB2445
15SinnerItaly2410
16BerrettiniItaly2375
17ShapovalovCanada2105
18CilicCroatia2075
19TiafoeUSA2000
20KhachanovRussia1990

Novak Djokovic ended 2021 with 4720 points more than Carlos Alcaraz; also Medvedev and Tsitsipas earned more points than the Spaniard, who would not have reached 7000 points even counting the 135 points he wasn’t awarded at Wimbledon.

A few comments on the 2022 rankings:

  • Casper Ruud, the ATP Finals finalist, concludes his excellent year in third place, overtaking Stefanos Tsitsipas with an impressive final rush.
  • Novak Djokovic and Rafa Nadal are the only top 10 players born in the 80s; the other 8 were born in the second half of the 90s.
  • Cameron Norrie and Pablo Carreno Busta are the survivors of the lost generation, born between 1990 and 1995 and that was most overpowered by the Big Four dominance. 
  • Only North America, beyond Europe, is represented at the very highest: Auger Aliassime, Fritz, Shapovalov and Tiafoe.
  • Holger Rune has gained 92 positions since the start of the year. Carlos Alcaraz “just” 31.
  • A final note: Kei Nishikori ends 2022 without a ranking. Does this suggest he’s going to retire?

BEST RANKING

Owing to earned and dropped points, as well as results in the Challenger events, five players in the top 100 have achieved their career highest this week:

Emil Ruusuvuori – 40

Quentin Halys – 64

Christopher O’Connell – 79

Roman Safiullin – 89

Nuno Borges – 91

A special applause for the 20-year old Ben Shelton, a bright prospect for USA tennis, who has made his debut in the top 100. Thanks to his victory in the Champaign-Urbana Challenger he’s now ranked 97.

Is that all? Not yet! Just a quiz for everybody: which was the last year which saw the first two places in the rankings occupied at the end of the season by two players of the same nationality?

That’s really all for now. We’ll be back in 2023.

Translated by Kingsley Elliot Kaye

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ATP Finals Daily Preview: Novak Djokovic Faces Casper Ruud in the Championship Match

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Novak Djokovic on Saturday in Turin (twitter.com/atptour)

The biggest ATP non-Major final of 2022 takes place on Sunday in Turin, Italy.

 

2022 has been a bizarre year in the career of Novak Djokovic.  It started with his deportation from Australia, forcing the unvaccinated Djokovic to miss the first Major of the year.  That would be one of six prominent events that Novak would miss this season due to COVID-19 entry rules (Australian Open, Indian Wells, Miami, Montreal, Cincinnati, US Open).  Yet Djokovic was still able to accumulate a record of 41-7, and win his 21st Slam at Wimbledon.  He is now 17-1 at indoor ATP events this fall, and will end the year as the World No.5  With a win on Sunday, he would tie Roger Federer for most all-time ATP Finals titles.

2022 has been a groundbreaking year in the career of Casper Ruud.  He had already established himself as a top 10 player, but prior to this season, was predominantly thought of as a clay court specialist, with five of his six ATP titles coming on that surface.  Yet that all changed this season, starting in Miami when he reached his first Masters 1000 finals.  Casper would go on to also reach his first two Major finals, in Paris in New York.  He is now 51-21, and into his fourth big final of the year.


Sunday’s action in Turin starts at 4:00pm local time with the doubles championship match, featuring Nikola Mektic and Mate Pavic (4) vs. Rajeev Ram and Joe Salisbury (2).  Both teams are an undefeated 4-0 this past week.  This is Ram and Salisbury’s second consecutive year in the final, having lost a year ago to Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Nicolas Mahut.  Mektic won this title two years ago alongside Wesley Koolhof, while this is Pavic’s first appearance in the final of this event.  These teams have not met since the semifinals of this tournament last year, when Ram and Salisbury prevailed.


Casper Ruud (3) Novak Djokovic (7) – Not Before 7:00pm

Ruud is 3-1 this past week, with his only loss coming in a dead rubber against Rafael Nadal.  Prior to his three top 10 victories across the last seven days, Casper only had two all season (Zverev, Auger-Aliassime).  And he is yet to win a title above 250-level in his career, with the aforementioned three losses this year in big finals.  Ruud was a semifinalist here a year ago in his ATP Finals debut.

Djokovic is an undefeated 4-0 this week, which includes an arduous effort to defeat Daniil Medvedev on Friday in a dead rubber.  Novak is now 10-3 against top 10 opposition in 2022, having taken nine of his last 10 against the top 10.  He is 4-2 in finals this year, though he lost his most recent one, two weeks in Bercy, to Holger Rune.  Djokovic is an eight-time finalist here, though he hasn’t won this title since 2015.

Djokovic has played a lot more tennis across the last two days than Ruud.  On Friday, Novak spent over three hours on court, while Ruud had the day off.  But Djokovic still looked plenty fresh for his semifinal on Saturday against Taylor Fritz, and was able to prevent the American from extending that tight contest to a third set.  Novak is 3-0 against Casper, which includes a straight-set victory at this same event a year ago.  And considering Ruud’s poor record in significant finals, Djokovic is a considerable favorite to win his sixth title at the ATP Finals on Sunday.


Sunday’s full Order of Play is here.

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