On Sunday in Miami, either Casper Ruud or Carlos Alcaraz will win the biggest title of their career. Both men initially rose through the rankings based on clay court results, but both have now proven to be formidable forces on hard courts as well.
23-year-old Casper Ruud has achieved three Masters 1000 semifinals on clay, and six of his seven career titles also came on that surface. The Norwegian arrived in Miami with a 1-8 record against top 10 opposition on hard courts, yet earned an impressive three-set victory over Sascha Zverev in the quarterfinals. All his other victories at this event have been decisive straight-setters. Ruud will reach a new career-high of No.7 in the world regardless of Sunday’s result.
18-year-old Carlos Alcaraz won an ATP 250 title last July, an ATP 500 title in February, and may now add a Masters 1000 title to his collection. But his real breakthrough occurred as last summer’s US Open, when he electrified audiences with his run to the quarterfinals, highlighted by an upset of Stefanos Tsitsipas in a fifth-set tiebreak. He repeated that feat by defeating Tsitsipas again at this tournament, and has now claimed 22 of his last 24 matches. Alcaraz has already guaranteed himself a top 12 debut come Monday, and would move up to No.11 with a win on Sunday.
Also on Sunday, the women’s doubles championship will be decided, as the top seeds face the 2020 US Open champions.
Casper Ruud (6) vs. Carlos Alcaraz (14) – 1:00pm on Stadium Court
Their only previous encounter occurred last April on clay in Marbella, with Alcaraz prevailing 6-2, 6-4. Back then, Carlos was a wild card ranked 133rd in the world. 12 months later, he’s improved his ranking by more than 100 spots. His only two losses this season have been a fifth-set tiebreak heartbreaker to Matteo Berrettini, and an over three-hour three-setter at the hands of his idol, Rafael Nadal. Neither of those are losses to be ashamed of.
Casper Ruud’s results on hard courts have progressed significantly. He was 16-27 on the surface prior to 2021, but is now 36-13 since. His forehand has been a tremendous weapon this fortnight, and his first serve percentage has increased significantly this season. And notably, Casper is 6-0 in his last six finals.
However, it’s been a long time since any young male player has been as impressive as Carlos Alcaraz. His speed, power, perseverance, composure, and high tennis IQ make for an intimidating package. And against an opponent who is also into new territory on Sunday in a Masters 1000 final, Alcaraz should be favored to win his first of many titles at this level.
Veronika Kudermetova and Elise Mertens (1) vs. Laura Siegemund and Vera Zvonareva – Not Before 3:00pm on Stadium Court
Both teams are vying for the their second title of the season. This is the first time these teams have met. Kudermetova and Mertens have survived three consecutive third-set 10-point tiebreaks, while Siegemund and Zvonareva claimed one in the semifinals by a score of 13-11.
Sunday’s full Order of Play is here.