Madrid Open Daily Preview: Can Rafael Nadal Continue His Run? - UBITENNIS
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Madrid Open Daily Preview: Can Rafael Nadal Continue His Run?

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Rafael Nadal on Saturday in Madrid (twitter.com/MutuaMadridOpen)

Monday features the conclusion of third round ATP singles action, as well as all eight round of 16 WTA singles matches.

On Saturday, Rafael Nadal electrified the Madrid crowd with the best tennis we’ve seen from him in well over a year, as he defeated Alex de Minaur in straight sets.  Now he tries to win three consecutive matches for the first time since the 2022 US Open, against Argentina’s Pedro Cachin.

Other ATP action on Monday includes top-seeded Jannik Sinner, third-seeded Daniil Medvedev, and recent Barcelona champion Casper Ruud.

Plus, all eight fourth round WTA singles matches will be staged, and they feature eight of the top 10 seeds.  Two-time Madrid champ Aryna Sabalenka takes on the WTA’s hottest player Danielle Collins, who is currently on a 15-match win streak.  In addition, top-seeded Iga Swiatek, third-seeded Coco Gauff, and recent Stuttgart champ Elena Rybakina will all play on Monday.

Each day, this preview will analyze the two most intriguing matchups, while highlighting other notable matches on the schedule.  Monday’s play gets underway at 11:00am local time.


Rafael Nadal (PR) vs. Pedro Cachin – Not Before 4:00pm on Manolo Santana Stadium

Was Nadal’s improved level on Saturday a one-off, or can he sustain it on Monday?  This will be just his eighth match of the past 15 months, but he brought back glimpses of the Rafa of yesteryear against Alex de Minaur in the last round, avenging a loss to the same player from the week prior.  In his 17 appearances in Madrid, Nadal has only twice failed to reach the fourth round.

Cachin was ranked inside the top 50 last summer, after winning a clay court title in Gstaad, his first-ever ATP crown.  But between last October and this month, the 29-year-old went on a 15-match losing streak at all levels.  His victories this past week over Sebastian Ofner and Frances Tiafoe are his first at tour level in nearly nine months.

In their first career meeting, Pedro will certainly feel a bit overwhelmed facing Rafa, especially in front of a raucous crowd in Madrid.  I like Nadal’s chances of extending his winning streak on Monday.


Danielle Collins (13) vs. Aryna Sabalenka (2) – Last on Manolo Santana Stadium

Collins has not lost a match since she faced World No.1 Iga Swiatek in Indian Wells.  Danielle won titles in both Miami and Charleston, which included nine victories over top 30 opposition.  And this past week in Madrid, she’s survived two dramatic three-setters. 

Sabalenka is 17-5 on the year, and is 14-3 lifetime in Madrid, though she’s also overcome two three-setters to this stage.  Aryna has understandably not played her best since the shocking death of her ex-boyfriend last month.  After her first 11 victories of 2024 came in straight sets, her last five matches have now all gone the distance.

Their history has been rather one-sided, as Sabalenka is 4-0 against Collins.  That includes three wins at the US Open, and one in Wuhan back in 2019.  In their first encounter on clay, I favor Aryna, especially at this event where she’s enjoyed so much success.  Plus, Danielle must be rather drained after playing so much tennis across the past six weeks.


Other Notable Matches on Monday:

Jelena Ostapenko (9) vs. Ons Jabeur (8) – This should be a fascinating encounter between two of the sport’s most streaky and unpredictable talents.  They have split four previous meetings at all levels, though Ostapenko has been the much better performer this season, with a record of 19-7, compared to just 5-7 for Jabeur.

Beatriz Haddad Maia (11) vs. Maria Sakkari (5) – Sakkari has already earned two solid straight-set victories over Donna Vekic and Sloane Stephens, while Haddad Maia defeated both Sara Errani and Emma Navarro in straights.  Beatriz is 3-0 against Maria at all levels.

Iga Swiatek (1) vs. Sara Sorribes Tormo – As per usual, Swiatek has dropped only seven games through four sets thus far.  But Sorribes Tormo is also yet to drop a set, and has already upset both Elina Svitolina and Victoria Azarenka.  Iga has beaten Sara three times within the past year, all in straight sets.

Daniil Medvedev (3) vs. Sebastian Korda (25) – Their head-to-head stands at 2-a-piece, though Medvedev defeated Korda most recently, which took place just a month ago in Indian Wells.  This is their first meeting on clay.

Coco Gauff (3) vs. Madison Keys (18) – Gauff has lost only five games through four sets, while Keys defeated the 15th seed, Liudmila Samsonova, in the last round.  Their head-to-head also stands at 2-2, though they also have never played on this surface.

Sara Bejlek (Q) vs. Elena Rybakina (4) – Rybakina is now 28-4 on the season, and is on a six-match win streak.  Bejlek is an 18-year-old qualifier from the Czech Republic who won 42 matches last year at all levels.

Cameron Norrie (29) vs. Casper Ruud (5) – Ruud leads the ATP with 30 match wins in 2024, and is 12-2 on clay.  Norrie is a modest 13-8 this year, and is 1-3 lifetime against Casper, but Cam’s one win came just a few months ago at the Australian Open.

Jannik Sinner (1) vs. Pavel Kotov – Sinner is now 26-2 this year, and thumped his fellow countryman Lorenzo Sonego in the second round by a score of 6-0, 6-3.  Kotov upset the 32nd seed Jordan Thompson on Saturday.


Monday’s full Order of Play is here.

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Internazionali d’Italia Daily Preview: Swiatek, Gauff Play Their Quarterfinals

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Iga Swiatek on Monday in Rome (twitter.com/InteBNLdItalia)

Tuesday features the first two WTA singles quarterfinals, as well as all eight ATP round of 16 singles matches.

We are one round away from a blockbuster semifinal between Iga Swiatek and Coco Gauff.  However, both must first overcome big-hitting competition on Tuesday.  Swiatek faces a red-hot Madison Keys, while Gauff takes on Australian Open runner-up Qinwen Zheng.

Plus, Tuesday will host all fourth round matches in the ATP singles draw, with six of the top 10 seeds still remaining. 

Throughout the tournament, this preview will analyze the day’s two most prominent matches, while highlighting the other notable matches on the schedule.  Tuesday’s play begins at 11:00am local time.


Iga Swiatek (1) vs. Madison Keys (18) – Not Before 1:00pm on Center Court

Swiatek survived a tough test on Monday afternoon from Angelique Kerber to win her ninth match in a row.  Iga is now 17-2 lifetime in Rome, and is yet to drop a set this fortnight.  And less than two weeks ago, she comfortably defeated her next opponent, with the loss of just four games. 

Keys has only claimed one of four meetings with Swiatek, and that victory came on a fast hard court in Madison’s home country.  But the American has won all seven of her matches on European clay this year against players not ranked No.1 in the world.  And she’s already beaten two seeded players during this event (Haddad Maia, Cirstea).

So can Keys challenge Swiatek on Tuesday?  If she wasn’t able to do so in the altitude of Madrid, then I don’t like her chances in Rome, which plays slower than Madrid and will reward her power to an even lesser degree.  Iga is a strong favorite to reach her eighth WTA 1000 semifinal out of her last nine appearances.


Coco Gauff (3) vs. Qinwen Zheng (7) – Not Before 8:30pm on Center Court

Gauff’s best tennis has escaped her of late, but she took after her coach Brad Gilbert by “winning ugly” on Monday, gritting her way back from a set down to take out Paula Badosa.  Coco will now vie for her first semifinal since Indian Wells two months ago.  She previously advanced to a semifinal three years ago in Rome, where she is now 11-4 lifetime.

On Monday, Qinwen picked up her best victory since reaching the Australian Open final in January, defeating Naomi Osaka in straight sets.  Zheng had extra motivation in that contest, as Wim Fessette abruptly left her team at the end of last season to return to Naomi’s team.  On Tuesday, Qinwen is looking to unlock another career milestone: achieving her first WTA 1000 semifinal, after previously going 0-3 in quarterfinals.

This is the first of what will likely be many career meetings between 20-year-old Coco and 21-year-old Zheng.  On Tuesday night, I favor Gauff to take their initial encounter.  The American’s recent form, while not stellar, has still been stronger than Qinwen’s.  And as Tennis Channel’s Jimmy Arias marveled on Monday, Coco’s speed around the court is unmatched on the WTA tour.


Other Notable Matches on Tuesday:

Taylor Fritz (11) vs. Grigor Dimitrov (8) – Fritz is now 9-3 this season on clay, while Dimitrov is just 4-2.  They have split two prior encounters, both of which were on this same surface.

Tommy Paul (14) vs. Daniil Medvedev (2) – Medvedev, the defending champion, required nearly three hours to defeat qualifier Hamad Medjedovic late in the day on Monday.  Paul spent nearly half that amount of time to win in straight sets on the same day.  Daniil is 3-0 against Tommy, most recently beating him in three sets two months ago in the Indian Wells semifinals.

Hubert Hurkacz (7) vs. Sebastian Baez (17) – After dominating Rafael Nadal over the weekend, Hurkacz followed that up with another straight-set victory on Monday.  Baez upset Holger Rune in the last round, to reach the round of 16 at a Masters 1000 event for the first time.  This is their first career meeting.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (6) vs. Alex de Minaur (9) – Tsitsipas defeated Cam Norrie on Monday, while de Minaur came from a set down to eliminate Felix Auger-Aliassime.  Stefanos has claimed 12 of their 14 matches at all levels, though their last matchup went to the Australian, a few months ago in Acapulco.


Tuesday’s full Order of Play is here.

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Iga Swiatek And Coco Gauff Survive Fourth Round Obstacles In Rome

Iga Swiatek’s bid for a third Rome title continues after a straight sets win over Angelique Kerber.

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(@InteBNLdItalia - Twitter)

Iga Swiatek and Coco Gauff are into the quarter-finals in Rome after surviving fourth round tests against Angelique Kerber and Paula Badosa respectively.

Starting with Swiatek, the Pole secured a 7-5 6-3 victory over former Grand Slam champion Angelique Kerber.

The world number one is aiming to win her third Rome title and started the match with aggressive serving.

After securing the break in the eighth game, Swiatek was broken back in the following game as Kerber increased the intensity on return.

However a hard-fought break of serve in the twelfth game sealed the set for Swiatek who broke on her third set point.

The second set didn’t start as well for Swiatek who seemingly spent a lot of energy on winning the first set as she lacked key moments of concentration with Kerber breaking in the opening game.

As expected though Swiatek bounced back well claiming two breaks of serve before serving out the match to love.

Next up for Swiatek is Madison Keys in a rematch from their semi-final contest in Madrid last week which the Pole won.

Gauff Edges Past Rejuvenated Badosa

In the other big contest of the day Coco Gauff prevented Paula Badosa from reaching a second consecutive Rome quarter-final as the American claimed a 5-7 6-4 6-1 victory.

The contest lasted almost two and a half hours as Gauff was forced to work hard against a rejuvenated Badosa.

However the former Roland Garros finalist powered through the third set to set up a meeting with seventh seed Qinwen Zheng.

The Australian Open finalist defeated Naomi Osaka in straight sets as both Gauff and Swiatek’s quarter-final matches will take place on Tuesday.

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Internazionali d’Italia Daily Preview: Major Champs Swiatek and Kerber Meet in the Fourth Round

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Iga Swiatek on Saturday in Rome (twitter.com/InteBNLdItalia)

Monday features the conclusion of third round ATP singles action, as well as all eight round of 16 matches in the WTA singles draw.

The top two women’s singles players in the world both face resurgent mothers on Monday.  Four-time Major champion Iga Swiatek takes on three-time Major champ Angelique Kerber, while two-time Major champ Aryna Sabalenka squares off against 2018 WTA Finals champ Elina Svitolina.  The WTA round of 16 also includes two other mothers who have won Majors, Naomi Osaka and Victoria Azarenka, as well as reigning US Open champ Coco Gauff.

Monday’s third round ATP singles action is headlined by defending champion Daniil Medvedev, recent Madrid champ Andrey Rublev, and three-time Monte Carlo champ Stefanis Tsitisipas.

Throughout the tournament, this preview will analyze the day’s two most prominent matches, while highlighting the other notable matches on the schedule.  Monday’s play begins at 11:00am local time.


Iga Swiatek (1) vs. Angelique Kerber – Not Before 3:00pm on Center Court

Swiatek is now an awesome 34-4 this season, and 10-1 on clay, with her only loss on this surface coming in the semifinals of Stuttgart at the hands of Elena Rybakina.  The Madrid champion is on an eight-match winning streak, and as per usual did not drop a set in her first two rounds.  Iga is a two-time champion in Rome, and has not lost a completed match here since 2020.

Clay is most certainly Kerber’s weakest surface, but she has been rather dominant through three rounds, winning all six sets she’s played.  Angie lost six of her first seven matches upon returning from child birth at the start of this season, yet has now taken six of her last nine.  She arrived in Rome just 10-10 lifetime at this event, though she did make a semifinal all the way back in 2012.

Swiatek is 2-0 against Kerber, with both matches taking place on hard courts.  That includes a three-set victory two years ago at Indian Wells, and a straight-setter at the beginning of this season in the United Cup.  On Iga’s best surface, she’s a considerable favorite to make it 3-0 against Angie.


Elina Svitolina (16) vs. Aryna Sabalenka (2) – Not Before 8:30pm on Center Court

Sabalenka is 22-6 on the year, and seemed to rediscover her mojo in Madrid, pulling out four three-setters before falling to Swiatek in the final in a third-set tiebreak.  Rome has not been too kind to Aryna thus far in her career, as she arrived with a losing record at this WTA 1000 event.  But she comfortably defeated Dayana Yastremska on Sunday in straight sets.

Svitolina went on quite a tear a year ago upon returning from maternity leave.  She promptly won a title in Strasbourg, then reached the quarters at Roland Garros, and then reached the semis at Wimbledon.  But her form has cooled in 2024, with a record of just 14-8.  However, Elina won back-to-back titles in Rome back in 2017 and 2018, and she easily claimed her first two matches here during this fortnight.

Sabalenka leads their head-to-head 2-1, most recently defeating Svitolina in last year’s Roland Garros quarterfinals by a score of 6-4, 6-4.  While Elina has aimed to play more aggressively since her return to the sport a year ago, she cannot match the aggression of Aryna, who should be able to dictate play and advance on Monday.


Other Notable Matches on Monday:

Naomi Osaka vs. Qinwen Zheng (7) – This tournament marks the first time in over two years that Osaka has won three completed matches at the same event.  She’s yet to drop a set, and already defeated two top 20 players (Kostyuk, Kasatkina) on one of her weakest surfaces.  Qinwen has understandably underperformed since the life-changing achievement of reaching her first Major final this past January in Melbourne, with a record of just 7-6.  Two years ago in San Jose on a hard court, Naomi won their only prior meeting in three sets.

Felix Auger-Aliassime (18) vs. Alex de Minaur (9) – Auger-Aliassime is trying to build on the momentum of advancing to the Madrid final, though de Minaur has been the far better player in 2024, which a record of 24-9.  Felix is 3-1 against Alex at all levels, but the Australian took their only meeting on clay.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (6) vs. Cameron Norrie (27) – Tsitsipas survived a grueling battle on Saturday against an in-form Jan-Lennard Struff, prevailing 6-4 in the third.  Stefanos is 1-1 against Cam, though the Greek’s victory came on clay.

Coco Gauff (3) vs. Paula Badosa – Gauff has lost most of the confidence she had last summer, and she required three sets to beat a lucky loser in the last round, after losing the second set 6-0.  Badosa has not been fully healthy for some time now, but this is the first tournament she has won three matches at since this same event a year ago.  And Paula leads their head-to-head 3-1.

Alexandre Muller (Q) vs. Andrey Rublev (4) – Rublev is now on a seven-match winning streak, after barely advancing in his opening round here over Marcos Giron by a score of 7-5 in the third.  Muller upset the 31st seed, Arthur Fils, on Saturday to reach the third round of a Masters 1000 tournament for the first time.   

Hamad Medjedovic (Q) vs. Daniil Medvedev (2) – Medvedev claimed two tight sets in the last round against Jack Draper.  Medjedovic is a 19-year-old from Serbia who eliminated 30th-seeded Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. 

Maria Sakkari (5) vs. Victoria Azarenka (24) – Both of these players are 19-8 on the year, though Sakkari won her first two matches in Rome in straights, while both of Azarenka’s matches went the distance.  However, Vika is 2-0 against Maria.


Monday’s full Order of Play is here.

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