ATP Finals Daily Preview: Alcaraz, Zverev Vie for the Final Semifinal Spot - UBITENNIS
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ATP Finals Daily Preview: Alcaraz, Zverev Vie for the Final Semifinal Spot

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Carlos Alcaraz on Wednesday in Turin (twitter.com/atptour)

Round-robin play concludes on Friday, with one more spot in the singles semifinals to be decided.   

Daniil Medvedev, Jannik Sinner, and Novak Djokovic have already qualified for Saturday’s semifinals, with Carlos Alcaraz and Sascha Zverev still having a chance to qualify, as they both hold a record of 1-1.  On Friday, Alcaraz plays Medvedev, while Zverev faces Andrey Rublev, who has already been eliminated from advancement with an 0-2 record.

Here are Friday’s advancement scenarios:

  • Zverev advances if:
    • Medvedev defeats Alcaraz, and Zverev defeats Rublev.
  • Alcaraz advances if:
    • Any other combination of results take place in Friday’s singles matches.

So Alcaraz has many different scenarios where he can advance, while Zverev needs two specific results on Friday in order to advance.

Each day, this preview will analyze the most intriguing matchup, while highlighting the other matches on the schedule.  Friday’s play begins at 12:00pm local time.


Carlos Alcaraz (2) vs. Daniil Medvedev (3) – Not Before 2:30pm

They have split four previous meetings, three of which occurred during 2023.  And all their matches this year have been prominent ones.  In the championship match of Indian Wells, Alcaraz easily defeated a tired Medvedev, who had won three hard court titles in as many weeks heading into the event.  In the semifinals of Wimbledon, Carlitos again prevailed in straight sets.  But in the semis of the US Open, as most were anticipating another Djokovic/Alcaraz final this summer, Daniil prevented that from happening, taking out Carlitos in four sets.

Alcaraz is now 64-11 on the year, and 1-1 in his ATP Finals debut, after losing to Zverev in three sets, then beating Rublev in two.  However, Carlitos has not been the same player since losing to Novak in their epic Cincinnati final three months ago.  Alcaraz has now lost four of his last six matches, and he remains an unproven commodity on indoor hard courts, a setting in which he’s played less than 30 matches in his career.

Medvedev is now 66-16 this season, and 11-7 lifetime at this event, after beating both Zverev and Rublev in straight sets.  In his fifth consecutive appearance, this will be his third time advancing out of round-robin play.  He went on to win the title in 2020, and was the runner-up to Zverev the year after.  Daniil is now 11-2 this year on indoor hard courts, and has won 91 indoor hard court matches in his career.

Based on their recent form, as well as their contrasting amounts of experience on indoor hard courts, Medvedev is the favorite to defeat Alcaraz on Friday afternoon.  But if Carlitos can serve a high % of first serves, and use that to attack Daniil’s deep return position, as he did earlier this season, Alcaraz could easily hand Medvedev his first loss of the week.  Regardless, this should be a fascinating contest between two of the sport’s best players, in a match with a lot on the line: considerable money and ranking points, as well as semifinal placement.


Other Notable Matches on Friday:

Wesley Koolhof and Neal Skupski (2) vs. Rohan Bopanna and Matthew Ebden (3) – Both teams are 1-1 thus far, so the team that wins this match will advance to the semifinals, while the losing team will be eliminated.  These teams have played five times this year, with Koolhof and Skupski holding a 3-2 edge, with their most notable victory coming in the Wimbledon semifinals.  However, the only hard court meeting this season between these two teams, at Indian Wells, went to Bopanna and Ebden.

Rajeev Ram and Joe Salisbury (6) vs. Rinky Hijikata and Jason Kubler (8) – Ram and Salisbury are 2-0 and have already qualified for the semis, while Hijikata and Kubler are 0-2 and have been eliminated, so this is a dead rubber.

Andrey Rublev (5) vs. Sascha Zverev (7) – This could also be a dead rubber, if Alcaraz defeats Medvedev earlier in the day.  Zverev claimed their first five meetings, but the last three went to Rublev, all of which took place during this season.


Friday’s full Order of Play is here.

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Wrist Injury Threatening To End Holger Rune’s Olympic Dream

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Holger Rune will have a second medical opinion on Monday before deciding if he is fit enough to play at the Olympic Games, according to his team. 

The Danish world No.17 recently retired from his quarter-final match at the Hamburg Open due to a knee injury. The hope at the time was that his withdrawal would be just a precautionary measure ahead of the Olympics. However, he is also dealing with a second issue that appears to be more serious.

According to TV 2 Sport, Rune has been struggling with a wrist issue and underwent a scan on Sunday which his mother Aneke says ‘doesn’t look promising.’ Aneke is also the manager of her son’s career. Rune’s Olympic dreams now rest on the outcome of a second medical expert that he will visit tomorrow who has a better understanding of the sport. 

“Unfortunately, it does not look promising after the first medical opinion after the review of the scan of the wrist,” Aneke Rune told TV 2 Sport.

“We are waiting for two tennis-specific doctors who will give a second opinion tomorrow (Monday). Tennis wrists look different from regular wrists, so we’ll hold out hope for one more day.” 

Rune is one of three Danish players entered into the Olympic tennis event along with Caroline Wozniacki and Clara Tauson. The country has only won one medal in tennis before which was at the 1912 Games when Sofie Castenschiold won silver in the women’s indoor singles event. 

So far this season, the 21-year-old has won 27 matches on the Tour but is yet to claim a title. He reached the final of the Brisbane International and then the semi-finals of three more events. In the Grand Slams, he made it to the fourth round of the French Open and Wimbledon. 

It is not known when a final decision regarding Rune’s participation in Paris will be made.

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Hubert Hurkacz Undergoes ‘Knee Procedure’ Ahead of Olympic Bid

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Poland’s top player on the ATP Tour is not giving up on his dream of winning a medal at the Olympic Games despite recently undergoing a medical procedure.

World No.7 Hubert Hurkacz suffered a knee injury during his second round clash at Wimbledon against France’s Arthur Fils. In the fourth set tiebreak of their clash, Hurkacz dived for a shot but landed badly on his knee and required on-court medical attention. He then played two more points before retiring from the match. 

In a social media post published on Wednesday, the  27-year-old confirmed he underwent a procedure on his knee earlier this week but didn’t provide any further details.  Although Hurkacz has stated his intention to play at the upcoming Olympic Games in Paris, where the tennis event will be held on the clay at Roland Garros. 

“I had a knee procedure this Monday, but I’m feeling better already and my team and are dedicating extensive time each day to the rehab process.” He wrote on Instagram. 

“It’s a dream for every athlete to represent their country at the Olympics, and I want to make sure I am fully fit and ready before making the final decision to step on court. The aim is not only to participate, but to win a medal for my country.”

So far this season Hurkacz has won 34 out of 48 matches played on the Tour. He won the Estoril Open in April and was runner-up to Jannik Sinner in Halle. 

The Olympic tennis event is scheduled to begin a week Saturday on July 27th. Poland is yet to win a medal in the event but expectations are high with women’s No.1 Iga Swiatek also taking part. 

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Motivation, Pressure And Expectations – Novak Djokovic Targets History At Wimbledon

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image via x.com/wimbledon

Novak Djokovic has broken numerous records throughout his career but he still feels the pressure of trying to make history in the sport. 

The world No.2 is through to his 10th Wimbledon final where he will play Carlos Alcaraz, who beat him at this stage of the tournament 12 months ago. There is plenty on the line for the Serbian who could equal Roger Federer’s record for most men’s titles won at SW19 and break the overall record for most major singles won in the sport if he triumphs over the Spaniard. Djokovic currently has 24 Grand Slam trophies to his name which is the same as Margaret Court, who won some of her titles before the Open Era started. 

“Obviously I’m aware that Roger [Federer] holds eight Wimbledons. I hold seven. History is on the line.” Djokovic said on Friday after beating Lorenzo Musetti.

“Also, the 25th potential Grand Slam. Of course, it serves as a great motivation, but at the same time it’s also a lot of pressure and expectations.”

Coming into Wimbledon, there had been doubts over Djokovic’s form after he underwent surgery to treat a knee injury he suffered at the French Open. However, he has defied the odds to reach the final. His run has also seen him beat Alexi Popyrin and Holger Rune before getting a walkover in the quarter-finals from Alex de Minaur, who sustained an injury during the tournament. Then on Friday, he overcame a spirited Musetti in three sets. 

Despite the challenge, Djokovic has insisted that his expectations to do well are always high no matter what the situation is. During what has been a roller-coaster first six months of the season, he is yet to win a title this year or beat a player currently ranked in the top 10. Although he will achieve both of these if her beats Alcaraz on Sunday. 

“Every time I step out on the court now, even though I’m 37 and competing with the 21-year-olds, I still expect myself to win most of the matches, and people expect me to win, whatever, 99% of the matches that I play.” He said.

“I always have to come out on the court and perform my best in order to still be at the level with Carlos [Alcaraz] or Jannik [Sinner] or Sascha [Zverev] or any of those guys, Daniil [Medvedev]. 

“This year hasn’t been that successful for me. It’s probably the weakest results the first six months I’ve had in many years. That’s okay. I had to adapt and accept that and really try to find also way out from the injury that I had and kind of regroup.”

Djokovic hopes that a Wimbledon win will help turn his season around like it has done in the past for him. 

“Wimbledon historically there’s been seasons where I wasn’t maybe playing at a desired level, but then I would win a Wimbledon title and then things would change.” He commented.

“For example, that was the case in 2018 when I had elbow surgery earlier in the year, dropped my rankings out of top 20, losing in fourth round of Australian Open, I think it was quarters of Roland-Garros, and just not playing the tennis that I want to play. Then I won Wimbledon and then won US Open and then later on became No.1 very soon.”

Meanwhile, 21-year-old Alcaraz is hoping to stop Djokovic in his tracks. Should he defend his title at Wimbledon, he would become the first player outside the Big Three to do so since Pete Sampras more than 20 years ago. He has won their only previous meeting on the grass but trails their head-to-head 3-2. 

“I’m sure he knows what he has to do to beat me,” said Alcaraz.

“But I’m ready to take that challenge and I’m ready to do it well.”

When the two players take to the court to play in the Wimbledon final, Djokovic will be 15 years and 348 days older than Alcaraz. Making it the largest age gap in a men’s Grand Slam final since the 1974 US Open. Whoever is victorious will receive £2,700,000 in prize money. 

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