US Open Daily Preview: Novak Djokovic Faces Kei Nishikori in a 2014 Semifinal Rematch - UBITENNIS
Connect with us

Grand Slam

US Open Daily Preview: Novak Djokovic Faces Kei Nishikori in a 2014 Semifinal Rematch

Published

on

Novak Djokovic on Thursday night on Arthur Ashe Stadium (twitter.com/usopen)

Seven years ago, on an extremely hot and humid day in New York, Kei Nishikori upset Novak Djokovic in four sets, preventing Novak from reaching the final.  If not for that surprising defeat, perhaps Djokovic would already have 21 Majors.  At the time, that victory brought Kei’s record against Novak to 2-1.  Today, it stands at 17-2 Djokovic.  Novak has brought pain and misery upon Kei ever since that match.  Can Nishikori turn this rivalry around?

Saturday afternoon also sees a young Italian sensation, Jannik Sinner, facing a resurgent crowd favorite, Gael Monfils.  In addition, there are several big WTA matchups, featuring Major champions like Petra Kvitova and Iga Swiatek.  The evening session will include World No.1 Ash Barty, as well as Olympic gold medalist Sascha Zverev.

Each day, this preview will analyze the five most intriguing matchups, while highlighting other notable matches on the schedule.  Saturday’s play gets underway at 11:00am local time.

Petra Kvitova (10) vs. Maria Sakkari (17) – 12:00pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium

This will be their sixth meeting since March of 2019, with Kvitova leading 3-2.  In their only match this year, on clay in Stuttgart, Sakkari prevailed in three sets.  These players have almost identical records on the season: Sakkari is 28-14, while Kvitova is 26-14.  The Greek was playing excellently until her Roland Garros heartbreak, where she lost in the semifinals despite holding a match point over eventual winner Barbora Krejcikova.  Since leaving Paris, she’s only 7-4.  Kvitova won the title in Doha six months ago, but has only reached one semifinal since.  Neither woman has a dropped a set through two rounds.  There is not much to separate these two, except the conditions.  The fast courts and cooler temperatures are exactly what Kvitova prefers, and it feels like she’s due for a good result at a Major.

Belinda Bencic (11) vs. Jessica Pegula (23) – Second on Louis Armstrong Stadium

This is a rematch from the opening round of the Tokyo Olympics, which of course Bencic won, on her way to the gold medal.  That match started an 11-1 streak for Belinda, who has described still getting great joy from, and not quite believing, she’s a gold medalist.  That has seemed to release a lot of stress from her game.  Pegula is having the season of her life, with the help of Venus Williams’ longtime coach David Witt.  The American has 31 wins in 2021, and recently advanced to the semifinals in Montreal.  But based on their recent matchup, and Belinda’s current confidence level, Belinda is the favorite.

Iga Swiatek (7) vs. Anett Kontaveit (28) – Second on Grandstand

Swiatek’s recovery in the second round was most impressive.  After going down a set and a break to Fiona Ferro, Iga knelt by her chair and started crying.  The emotional release seemed to help her relax, as she fought her way back to take the second set in a tiebreak, before running away with the third 6-0.  But this is going to be another tough test for last year’s French Open champion, as Kontaveit is 7-0 since teaming up with Dmitry Tursunov.  Kontaveit won the title last week in Cleveland, and has only allowed opponents eight games through four sets this week.  When Anett’s groundstrokes are on, she can rack up a lot of winners.  With Swiatek only 3-2 on hard courts this summer, and with Kontaveit claiming their two prior hard court encounters, this match has the potential for an upset.

Novak Djokovic (1) vs. Kei Nishikori – Not Before 1:30pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium

To answer the question from earlier, it seems highly unlikely Nishikori is ready to turn this rivalry around.  He has now lost 16 consecutive matches to the World No.1, and has won only two of their last 22 sets.  And while Djokovic is coming off a straight-set victory on Thursday, Kei required five sets to overcome Mackie McDonald in an exhausting battle.  Without the weapons required to challenge Novak, this would seem to be another straightforward win for Djokovic, who only needs five more to complete the Grand Slam.

Jannik Sinner (13) vs. Gael Monfils (17) – Third on Louis Armstrong Stadium

Prior to the pandemic, Monfils was on fire.  In February of 2020, he won consecutive titles, and then reached the semifinals of Dubai.  But following the pandemic restart a year ago, he went on a seven-match losing streak, and lost 14 of 17 matches overall.  That changed last month in Toronto, as Monfils has now won back-to-back matches at three consecutive events.  When asked why he has started winning again, Gael explained there is only one reason: the crowd.  This is a player who loves to entertain, and suffered from the lack of an audience for much of the past year.  During that same span where Monfils struggled, Sinner thrived, winning his first three ATP titles, including one earlier this summer in Washington.  The 20-year-old is now 32-16 on the year.  They’ve played twice, with both matches coming in consecutive weeks during October of 2019, and with each prevailing once.  In front of what will be a packed, midday crowd on Louis Armstrong, I suspect the Frenchman will be fully motivated, and use all his speed, power, and sizzle to propel himself to victory.

Other Notable Matches on Saturday:

Bianca Andreescu (6) vs. Greet Minnen (LL) – The 2019 champion remains undefeated at this tournament.  Minnen is a 24-year-old from Belgium who lost in the last round of qualifying, but replaced Jelena Ostapenko in the draw.

Matteo Berrettini (6) vs. Ilya Ivashka – Berrettini arrived in New York still hampered by the leg injury he suffered at Wimbledon, yet is appearing healthier match-by-match.  Ivashka is a 27-year-old from Belarus having the best season of his career, and won his first ATP title last week in Winston-Salem.  Ilya has now won eight matches in a row.  However, in the round of 16 at this year’s Wimbledon, Matteo beat him in straight sets.

Sara Sorribes Tormo vs. Emma Raducanu (Q) – 18-year-old Raducanu is looking to reach the fourth round at her second consecutive Major, in what is also her second career appearance at a Major.  Sorribes Tormo has already defeated two tricky opponents in Karolina Muchova and Su-Wei Hsieh without dropping a set.

Ash Barty (1) vs, Shelby Rogers – The American was a quarterfinalist here a year ago.  However, she is 0-5 against Barty, with four of those losses coming this year.

Sascha Zverev (4) vs. Jack Sock (WC) – The 28-year-old American was ranked 389th in the world a year ago, but is showing signs of his previous form, especially in a five-set win on Thursday over Alexander Bublik.  He’s 1-2 against Zverev, who is on a 13-match win streak, and has soundly defeated his two opponents this week.

Saturday’s full Order of Play is here.

Focus

Wimbledon Daily Preview: Novak Djokovic Plays Carlos Alcaraz for the Gentlemen’s Singles Championship

Published

on

Carlos Alcaraz after winning his semifinal on Friday (twitter.com/wimbledon)

Day 14 at The Championships hosts the championship matches in gentlemen’s singles and mixed doubles.

One year ago, Novak Djokovic was on a 34 match Wimbledon win streak, playing for his fifth consecutive title, and had not lost a match on Centre Court in a full decade.  But in a spectacular five-hour five-setter, Carlos Alcaraz upset the all-time great to win his first Wimbledon title.  On Sunday, we get the rematch, as Djokovic looks to avenge that painful loss, and Alcaraz looks to defend a Major title, and win back-to-back Majors, for the first time.


Carlos Alcaraz (3) vs. Novak Djokovic (2) – 2:00pm on Centre Court

They followed up last year’s championship match here with another fantastic final just a month later in Cincinnati, where Djokovic saved championship point to eventually win in a third-set tiebreak, and after nearly four hours of play.  Novak would go on three weeks later to win the US Open, while Carlitos was not the same player for some time.  Alcaraz would not reach another final at any event for over six months, until this past March in Indian Wells. 

Despite a few surprising losses, and an injury that disrupted his season, Alcaraz is now a strong 32-6 on the year, and a superb 17-1 at Majors.  Carlitos has been able to quickly rebound from upsets at smaller events, like his loss to Jack Draper a few weeks ago at Queen’s Club, and up his level for the big events.  He’s dropped five sets through six matches, most of which have contained some sloppy play at times, yet Carlitos has played his best when it mattered most to reach his fourth Major final.  And he’s 3-0 thus far in Major finals.

2024 has been a surprisingly subpar season in the illustrious career of Djokovic.  Not only has he not won a title to date, he hadn’t advanced to a final until now.  Playing a more limited schedule, he’s just 23-6 this season.  And it was just a month ago that he was forced to withdraw from the Roland Garros quarterfinals after suffering a knee injury, which required surgery and put his Wimbledon status in doubt.  Yet Novak has recovered almost miraculously, dropping only two sets to this stage, though he did receive a quarterfinal walkover of his own from an injured Alex de Minaur.

Overall Djokovic is 3-2 against Alcaraz, and they’ve split two meetings at Majors, both of which took place a year ago.  In the 2023 Roland Garros semifinals, Carlitos started cramping after just two sets of play, and provided little resistance in sets three and four.  That made his five-set victory in this final a month later all the more surprising.

Novak has not appeared to be significantly hampered by his surgically-repaired knee, though there’s no way it can be 100%.  So if another five-setter takes place on Sunday, that has to favor Carlitos, especially since he is an amazing 12-1 when pushed to five sets in his young career.

But the Djokovic CV at this tournament, and at this stage of Majors, is beyond formidable.  Since the start of The Championships in 2014, he is 59-3 at SW19.  And during the same span at all Majors, he is 42-8 in semifinals and finals.  Novak just very rarely loses matches like this, especially on Centre Court.

On a that surface usually favors the aggressor, Djokovic has been able to change that narrative with his stifling defense and court coverage.  However, Alcaraz is one of the only players Djokovic has ever faced who can match him defensively, and at times dictate play against him with his risk-taking style.  We saw here a year ago just how frustrated Novak became by Carlitos’ game, damaging the net post by breaking his racket against it after getting broken in the fifth set.

Yet as many have mentioned these last two weeks, Djokovic “has that look about him,” meaning the steely determination and confidence that he was lacking during the first six months of this year appear to be back.  He is extremely motivated to reassert himself atop the game, in a season where the new generation of Alcaraz and Sinner won the first two Majors. 

If Carlitos gets off to another slow start on Sunday (he’s lost the first set in three of his six matches thus far), or suffer lapses in his level again, Novak will take advantage of that better than any of the defending champion’s previous opponents.  And while he’ll surely do so at some point in his career, until Alcaraz defends a Major title, or wins back-to-back Majors, it’s hard to favor him to do so.  I’m backing Djokovic to win his eighth Wimbledon title, and his historical 25th Major singles title, the most of all-time.


Other Notable Matches on Sunday:

Santiago Gonzalez and Giuliana Olmos vs. Jan Zielinski Su-wei Hsieh (7) – The Mexican team of Gonzalez and Olmos are playing for their first Major title, as Olmos is 0-1 in Major finals, while 41-year-old Gonzalez is 0-4.  Zielinski and Su-wei won this year’s Australian Open as a team, the first Major title of Zielinski’s career, while Su-wei has now won eight between women’s doubles and mixed, and is 8-1 in Major finals.


Sunday’s full Order of Play is here.

Continue Reading

Focus

Wimbledon Daily Preview: Jasmine Paolini Plays Barbora Krejcikova for the Ladies’ Singles Championship

Published

on

Jasmine Paolini after winning her semifinal on Thursday (twitter.com/wimbledon)

Day 13 at The Championships hosts the championship matches in ladies’ singles, ladies’ doubles, and gentlemen’s doubles.

It’s cliché, and usually untrue, to say “No one expected these two finalists.”  But in this case, it is absolutely true.  Prior to this fortnight, Jasmine Paolini had never won a match at The Championships.  And Barbora Krejcikova arrived at SW19 with a losing record on the year.  Yet both will play in their second Major singles final on Saturday, after inspired play during this tournament.


Barbora Krejcikova (31) vs. Jasmine Paolini (7) – 2:00pm on Centre Court

After failing to advance beyond the second round in her first 16 appearances at Majors, Paolini is now 15-2 in her last three, and is the first WTA player to reach the final of both Roland Garros and Wimbledon since Serena Williams in 2016.  Jasmine is 30-12 on the year, and has won 14 of her last 16 matches.  She has been taken to three sets twice during this event, most recently outlasting Donna Vekic in a third-set tiebreak during Thursday’s semifinals.

Krejcikova has also required three sets in two of her six matches to this stage, upsetting 2022 champion Elena Rybakina in the semis.  That was the third win in a row for Barbora over a higher-seed, after ousting two other big hitters, Danielle Collins and Jelena Ostapenko.  She’s accomplished all this despite being just 7-9 this season before this tournament began.  Injuries have plagued her career since her 2021 Roland Garros singles title, including a back injury earlier this year. 

Paolini is 2-4 lifetime in singles finals at WTA level, while Krejcikova is 7-5.  However, when you consider their appearances in Major finals between singles and doubles, Paolini is 0-2, having lost both the women’s singles and doubles finals last month in Paris, while Krejcikova is an amazing 11-1.  That’s a huge contrast in success at Grand Slam level.

These players also possess contrasting styles.  Paolini has been crushing her forehand, using it to come forward and show off her great hands at the net.  Krejcikova has a good serve, as well as both power and guile on her groundstrokes.  She loves using her slice to keep her opponents off-balance.  However, that will be more difficult to do against such a great mover like Jasmine.  And Barbora’s forehand has become unreliable in some crucial moments during this fortnight, which the Italian can target.

But on this surface, and considering her history in Major finals, I give the edge to Krejcikova to win her second Major singles title.  Plus, Barbora has already won two ladies’ doubles titles on this same court.  And she would surely cherish the chance to honor her late coach and mentor Jana Novotna by holding the Venus Rosewater Dish aloft on Centre Court, just as Jana did in 1998.


Other Notable Matches on Saturday:

Max Purcell and Jordan Thompson (15) vs. Harri Heliovaara and Henry Patten – This is a fourth Major final in men’s doubles for Purcell, who won this title two years ago alongside another Aussie, Matthew Ebden.  Thompson had never advanced beyond the fourth round of a Major in either men’s singles or doubles until this run.  Patten is also a Major final debutante, while Heliovaara won last year’s US Open in mixed doubles.

Katerina Siniakova and Taylor Townsend (4) vs. Gabriela Dabrowski and Erin Routliffe (2) – Siniakova is playing for the ninth Major title in women’s doubles, while Townsend is playing for her first, after going 0-2 in previous finals.  Dabrowski and Routliffe are the reigning US Open champions, and Routliffe will become the new World No.1 in women’s doubles on Monday, regardless of Saturday’s result.


Saturday’s full Order of Play is here.

Continue Reading

Grand Slam

England’s Euros Final Clash With Spain Will Not Be Shown At Wimbledon

Published

on

Crowds of spectators watch live action on the Big Screen on the Hill at The Championships 2023. Held at The All England Lawn Tennis Club, Wimbledon. Day 7 Sunday 09/07/2023. Photo credit: AELTC/Adam Warner.

Football might be coming home on Sunday but those attending Wimbledon will have to leave the site if they want to watch the game. 

Gareth Southgate’s side takes on Spain for the chance to win their first major trophy since the 1966 World Cup, as well as their first of any sort on international territory. Their semi-final win over the Netherlands was the most-watched TV programme this year so far in the UK with a peak audience of 20.3 million on ITV. This figure doesn’t include those who watch the game online via ITVX or in public places. Broadcasters are hopeful that the final, which will be shown on both the BBC and ITV, could break the 30 million mark for viewers. 

Despite the highly-anticipated sporting event, the communications department of the All England Lawn Tennis Club (AELTC) has confirmed to Ubitennis that they will not be showing the Euros match on their large screen, even if the matches finish by 8 pm. The men’s final is scheduled to begin six hours earlier at 2 pm local time. 

The AELTC explains that part of their reasons for doing so is due to the huge cleanup operation that will be taking place immediately after the event. Some of the equipment used at the Grand Slam needs to be packed and moved elsewhere to be used for the Paris Olympic Games. 

Whilst some football fans attending Wimbledon might be disappointed, the AELTC has always stated from day one that they don’t intend to show football matches with their sole focus being on tennis. 

We’re very much focused on the tennis, this has been the case in the past,” AELTC Chief executive Sally Bolton said on the first day of this year’s tournament.
“We won’t be showing the football on any of the screens here. We’re confident that everyone who’s coming here will want to watch the tennis. 
There will be no special arrangements.”

It remains to be seen if there will be a big exodus of fans from Wimbledon on Sunday evening before England’s tie with Spain. However, this depends on the length of the men’s final which last year lasted almost five hours. It is roughly a 30-minute walk to Wimbledon train station where many pubs nearby will be showing the football.  

Across the UK some schools are allowing children to start at a later time on Monday due to the Euros. Businesses such as Tesco and Lidl are making changes to their opening times. Meanwhile, the Wireless Festival is ending early and World Matchplay Darts has also moved to an earlier time.

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement

Trending