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ATP Race to London Update

Who has already qualified for the ATP Finals, and who is in position to claim the remaining spots?

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With the ATP Finals in London just six weeks away, half of the eight qualifying spots for the singles event have already been secured.  But with two Masters 1,000 events and four 500-level events left to be played, there are a lot of points at stake for the players competing for the remaining spots.

Here’s a look at the current year-to-date standings heading into the China and Japan Opens this week, starting with the players that have already officially qualified for the WTA Finals and the points they’ve accumulated this year (their 2019 titles are in parenthesis).

1) Rafael Nadal, 9,225 points (Roland Garros, US Open, Rome, Montreal)

2) Novak Djokovic, 7,265 points (Australian Open, Wimbledon, Madrid)

3) Roger Federer, 5,510 points (Miami, Dubai, Halle)

4) Daniil Medvedev, 4,875 points (Cincinnati, Sofia, St. Petersburg)

The following players have not officially qualified, but most likely will, as accumulating more than 3,000 points is usually enough.

5) Dominic Thiem, 3,845 points (Indian Wells, Barcelona, Kitzbuhel)

6) Stefanos Tsitsipas, 3,160 points (Marseille, Estoril)

If none of these six players withdraw from the ATP Finals, that leaves just two spots open.  However, with Nadal, Djokovic, Federer, and Tsitsipas all battling injuries of late, there’s a good chance that not all of them will compete in London, which would open up some extra space.  After the top six in the race, there are six players separated by just 315 points. Here’s a look at those players, their current form, and their chances of qualifying.

7) Roberto Bautista Agut, 2,395 points (Doha) – It’s been a career year for the Spaniard, who finds himself inside the top 10 for the first time in his career.  His 2019 was strong right from the start, defeating Novak Djokovic in his way to the Doha title in the first week of the season.  He then made the quarter-finals of the Australian Open with three five-set victories. And Roberto would reach his first Major semifinal at Wimbledon.  And he’s still playing well, having reached the semis this past week in Zhuhai. Knowing he’s currently in qualifying position to make his ATP Finals debut, can he maintain his form and hold off the competition?

8) Matteo Berrettini, 2,185 points (Budapest, Stuttgart) – The 23-year-old Italian is currently in the eighth and final qualifying position, boosted by his recent run to his first Major semifinal in New York.  This is new territory for Berrettini, who a year ago was ranked outside the top 50. With four players nipping at his heels, with 105 points or less separating the players ranked from eighth to 12th in the race, Matteo can ill afford a let-down if he wants to make his ATP Finals debut.  In the opening round of Beijing this week, he has a challenging opponent by the name of Sir Andy Murray.

9) Kei Nishikori, 2,180 points (Brisbane) – Nishikori is only five points outside the top eight in the race, but that will change quickly as Kei has pulled out of the Japan Open and Shanghai Masters due to right arm and elbow issues.  He plans to return later in October, and will likely need at least a few match wins in Vienna and Paris in order to move into qualifying position.

10) Gael Monfils, 2,125 points (Rotterdam) – Here’s a bizarre yet true statement: Monfils has been one of 2019’s most consistent performers.  He’s reached the quarter-finals or better at eight events this season. He’s vying to qualify for the ATP Finals for the second time.  In the first round of Beijing, he faces a man who is rarely fun to play: John Isner.

11) Sascha Zverev, 2,120 points (Geneva) – It’s been a tough season for the ATP Finals champion of a year ago, filled with off-court distractions.  Much like the reigning WTA Finals champion Elina Svitolina, he’s in danger of missing this year’s event as the defending champion.  But perhaps clinching the Team Europe victory at the Laver Cup for the second straight year will be exactly what he needs to get him back on track.   Zverev gets Frances Tiafoe in the opening round of Beijing, whom he defeated in five sets at the US Open.

12) David Goffin, 2,080 points – Two years ago, Goffin was the runner-up at the ATP Finals, and defeated both Nadal and Federer on his way to the final.  However, since a few freak injuries in 2018, David has struggled to rediscover his form. Goffin is playing in Tokyo this week, and takes on Pablo Carreno Busta in his first round match.

Beyond those current top 12, there’s Fabio Fognini (1,965 points) and Diego Schwartzman (1,850 points) who are both within striking distance with one good run this fall.  The next two weeks will go a long way in determining who goes to London, with two 500-level events this week (Beijing and Tokyo) and the Shanghai Masters next week.  And the only two legitimate threats to end the year as world No.1 are Nadal and Djokovic. Considering Rafa’s 2,000-point lead, and the shoulder injury Novak has been nursing, Nadal is the favorite to claim his fifth year-end crown.  This would tie him with both Djokovic and Federer in that category, further muddying the GOAT argument waters.

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Wrist Injury Threatening To End Holger Rune’s Olympic Dream

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Holger Rune will have a second medical opinion on Monday before deciding if he is fit enough to play at the Olympic Games, according to his team. 

The Danish world No.17 recently retired from his quarter-final match at the Hamburg Open due to a knee injury. The hope at the time was that his withdrawal would be just a precautionary measure ahead of the Olympics. However, he is also dealing with a second issue that appears to be more serious.

According to TV 2 Sport, Rune has been struggling with a wrist issue and underwent a scan on Sunday which his mother Aneke says ‘doesn’t look promising.’ Aneke is also the manager of her son’s career. Rune’s Olympic dreams now rest on the outcome of a second medical expert that he will visit tomorrow who has a better understanding of the sport. 

“Unfortunately, it does not look promising after the first medical opinion after the review of the scan of the wrist,” Aneke Rune told TV 2 Sport.

“We are waiting for two tennis-specific doctors who will give a second opinion tomorrow (Monday). Tennis wrists look different from regular wrists, so we’ll hold out hope for one more day.” 

Rune is one of three Danish players entered into the Olympic tennis event along with Caroline Wozniacki and Clara Tauson. The country has only won one medal in tennis before which was at the 1912 Games when Sofie Castenschiold won silver in the women’s indoor singles event. 

So far this season, the 21-year-old has won 27 matches on the Tour but is yet to claim a title. He reached the final of the Brisbane International and then the semi-finals of three more events. In the Grand Slams, he made it to the fourth round of the French Open and Wimbledon. 

It is not known when a final decision regarding Rune’s participation in Paris will be made.

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Hubert Hurkacz Undergoes ‘Knee Procedure’ Ahead of Olympic Bid

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Poland’s top player on the ATP Tour is not giving up on his dream of winning a medal at the Olympic Games despite recently undergoing a medical procedure.

World No.7 Hubert Hurkacz suffered a knee injury during his second round clash at Wimbledon against France’s Arthur Fils. In the fourth set tiebreak of their clash, Hurkacz dived for a shot but landed badly on his knee and required on-court medical attention. He then played two more points before retiring from the match. 

In a social media post published on Wednesday, the  27-year-old confirmed he underwent a procedure on his knee earlier this week but didn’t provide any further details.  Although Hurkacz has stated his intention to play at the upcoming Olympic Games in Paris, where the tennis event will be held on the clay at Roland Garros. 

“I had a knee procedure this Monday, but I’m feeling better already and my team and are dedicating extensive time each day to the rehab process.” He wrote on Instagram. 

“It’s a dream for every athlete to represent their country at the Olympics, and I want to make sure I am fully fit and ready before making the final decision to step on court. The aim is not only to participate, but to win a medal for my country.”

So far this season Hurkacz has won 34 out of 48 matches played on the Tour. He won the Estoril Open in April and was runner-up to Jannik Sinner in Halle. 

The Olympic tennis event is scheduled to begin a week Saturday on July 27th. Poland is yet to win a medal in the event but expectations are high with women’s No.1 Iga Swiatek also taking part. 

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Motivation, Pressure And Expectations – Novak Djokovic Targets History At Wimbledon

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image via x.com/wimbledon

Novak Djokovic has broken numerous records throughout his career but he still feels the pressure of trying to make history in the sport. 

The world No.2 is through to his 10th Wimbledon final where he will play Carlos Alcaraz, who beat him at this stage of the tournament 12 months ago. There is plenty on the line for the Serbian who could equal Roger Federer’s record for most men’s titles won at SW19 and break the overall record for most major singles won in the sport if he triumphs over the Spaniard. Djokovic currently has 24 Grand Slam trophies to his name which is the same as Margaret Court, who won some of her titles before the Open Era started. 

“Obviously I’m aware that Roger [Federer] holds eight Wimbledons. I hold seven. History is on the line.” Djokovic said on Friday after beating Lorenzo Musetti.

“Also, the 25th potential Grand Slam. Of course, it serves as a great motivation, but at the same time it’s also a lot of pressure and expectations.”

Coming into Wimbledon, there had been doubts over Djokovic’s form after he underwent surgery to treat a knee injury he suffered at the French Open. However, he has defied the odds to reach the final. His run has also seen him beat Alexi Popyrin and Holger Rune before getting a walkover in the quarter-finals from Alex de Minaur, who sustained an injury during the tournament. Then on Friday, he overcame a spirited Musetti in three sets. 

Despite the challenge, Djokovic has insisted that his expectations to do well are always high no matter what the situation is. During what has been a roller-coaster first six months of the season, he is yet to win a title this year or beat a player currently ranked in the top 10. Although he will achieve both of these if her beats Alcaraz on Sunday. 

“Every time I step out on the court now, even though I’m 37 and competing with the 21-year-olds, I still expect myself to win most of the matches, and people expect me to win, whatever, 99% of the matches that I play.” He said.

“I always have to come out on the court and perform my best in order to still be at the level with Carlos [Alcaraz] or Jannik [Sinner] or Sascha [Zverev] or any of those guys, Daniil [Medvedev]. 

“This year hasn’t been that successful for me. It’s probably the weakest results the first six months I’ve had in many years. That’s okay. I had to adapt and accept that and really try to find also way out from the injury that I had and kind of regroup.”

Djokovic hopes that a Wimbledon win will help turn his season around like it has done in the past for him. 

“Wimbledon historically there’s been seasons where I wasn’t maybe playing at a desired level, but then I would win a Wimbledon title and then things would change.” He commented.

“For example, that was the case in 2018 when I had elbow surgery earlier in the year, dropped my rankings out of top 20, losing in fourth round of Australian Open, I think it was quarters of Roland-Garros, and just not playing the tennis that I want to play. Then I won Wimbledon and then won US Open and then later on became No.1 very soon.”

Meanwhile, 21-year-old Alcaraz is hoping to stop Djokovic in his tracks. Should he defend his title at Wimbledon, he would become the first player outside the Big Three to do so since Pete Sampras more than 20 years ago. He has won their only previous meeting on the grass but trails their head-to-head 3-2. 

“I’m sure he knows what he has to do to beat me,” said Alcaraz.

“But I’m ready to take that challenge and I’m ready to do it well.”

When the two players take to the court to play in the Wimbledon final, Djokovic will be 15 years and 348 days older than Alcaraz. Making it the largest age gap in a men’s Grand Slam final since the 1974 US Open. Whoever is victorious will receive £2,700,000 in prize money. 

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