Australian Open Day Three: Our Preview and Predictions! - UBITENNIS
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Australian Open Day Three: Our Preview and Predictions!

Roger Federer vs. Dolgopolov match of the day for day three at the Australian Open. Petra Kvitova threatens to be another liability, whereas the other favourites are looking good. Who are going to be the winners on Wednesday in Melbourne Park? Our preview and predictions!

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In bold players that we believe are the favourite to win the match in the most important courts in Melbourne Park. Is day three at the Australian Open and after a second day where Simona Halep, Venus Williams and Rafael Nadal were all ousted, day three could bring in some surprises too!

Rod Laver Arena

Aliaksandra Sasnovich (BLR) vs. Maria Sharapova (RUS)[5]

It is Sasnovich first main draw appearance at the Australian Open, but she has managed to make it to the second round just as she did in her debuts at the US Open (’14) and Wimbledon (’15). The Belarusian should hardly win a set against Sharapova, who has already scrolled pressure down after a convincing win in the first round.

Serena Williams (USA)[1] vs. Su-Wei Hsieh (TPE)

Hsieh is someone who has managed to reach the 4th round in Australia, but it was 8 years ago. Serena was already tested by Giorgi in the first round and passed without losing a set. The World No.1 should have an easy day at the office, unless she disappears from court and could in that case play a tight first set.

Roger Federer (SUI)[3] vs. Alexandr Dolgopolov (UKR)

Match of the day on Rod Laver Arena on the men’s side. What we hope is to see amazing tennis from probably the two most talented players on court. Net approaches, drop shots, changes of angles and rhythm, we want to see it all. Federer should advance in four sets.

Agnieszka Radwanska (POL)[4] vs. Eugenie Bouchard (CAN)

It is unfortunate that such match is already played in the second round. Bouchard is playing better, but has been dominated by Cornet last week in Hobart. It seems when the quality of the opponent rises, Genie is still not ready to find a way to win the match. Radwanska should win in two.

Novak Djokovic (SRB)[1] vs. Quentin Halys (FRA)

Another grind from Djokovic, who will hardly lose a set against the young French.

Margaret Court Arena

 

Austin Krajicek (USA) vs. Kei Nishikori (JPN)[7]

Nishikori said he is feeling good in Australia this year. A good performance by the Japanese should be enough to win in straigh sets.
Belinda Bencic (SUI)[12] vs. Timea Babos (HUN)

Belinda better be careful and not face a no day if she wants to sail into the third round in straight sets. The Swiss could let tension get in the way, but should manage to win in straight sets.

Carla Suarez Navarro (ESP)[10] vs. Maria Sakkari (GRE)

Interesting how the organisers decided to put this match on Margaret Court Arena. Suarez Navarro should win in two against World No.170 Sakkari, who has never won a match before this tournament in the main draw of a major.

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (FRA)[9] vs. Omar Jasika (AUS)

Tsonga showed glimpses of his best tennis early on this year. An in-form French could be a loose cannon in the men’s draw, clearly someone to watch very close.

Daria Gavrilova (AUS) vs. Petra Kvitova (CZE)[6]

This could be the upset of the day. Kvitova tends to be vulnerable early on in the Grand Slams and Gavrilova is already a top 40 player and one of the most promising rising stars in the women’s game. Daria last year beat Maria Sharapova in Miami, she has a chance to take the spotlight in a Grand Slam tournament as well now. The last time the two played one another was last year in Wuhan and Petra almost lost, finishing the match by 6-3 4-6 7-5.

 

Hisense Arena

 

Kateryna Bondarenko (UKR) vs. Svetlana Kuznetsova (RUS)[23]

Svetlana played superb tennis to win in Sydney and she is a pleasure to watch when she is on a roll. Unfortunately consistency is not always on her side, but it should be enough to win this match in two sets.

Irina Falconi (USA) vs. Roberta Vinci (ITA)[13]

Vinci likes to play in majors, we understood that last year when she finished runner-up at the US Open. The Italian is playing well and has the game and the slice to tire off Falconi to win in straight sets.

Mirza Basic (BIH) vs. Tomas Berdych (CZE)[6]

Berdych can beat anyone, but the top players. The Czech should advance in three easy sets.

Nick Kyrgios (AUS)[29] vs. Pablo Cuevas (URU)

Kyrgios proved not to feel the pressure of playing at home, but he seemed rather able to use the fans’ excitement in his favour, to perform at his best. The Australian could let a set go, but should win in straight sets.

 

On the other courts, both Grigor Dimitrov (faces Marco Trungelliti) and Marin Cilic (faces Albert Ramos-Vinolas) should advance easily. A match to watch close will see young talent Dominic Thiem taking on Nicolas Almagro. The Australian should win, but this could be a 5-setter or anyway a very entertaining match.

 

Grand Slam

Australian Open Considering Switching Women’s Final To Sunday In Future

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The Australian Open could become the first Grand Slam to break away from the tradition of women playing their singles final first. 

According to a report from the Australian Associated Press, tournament chief Craig Tiley is open to making such a move which wouldn’t require any approval from either the WTA or ATP. However, they would likely need to consult with players first and no changes are set to be made in 2025. 

The reasoning for making such a change is due to the women’s final usually being shorter than the men’s best with it being a best-of-three set match. Compared to the men who play the best-of-five. Their thinking is that due to the length of men’s matches increasing in recent years, staging it on a Saturday would enable more people to watch the entire match compred to a Sunday when many are consious about staying up late due to the working week starting on Monday. 

This year’s Australian Open saw Jannik Sinner bounce back from two sets down to beat Daniil Medvedev in a epic encounter that lasted three hours and 46 minuites. Meanwhile, Aryna Sabalenka required an hour and 17 mnuites to beat China’s Qinwen Zheng and capture the title. 

Should such a switch take place, it is estimated that the Sunday finale would end at around 10:30pm local time instead of after midnight, which would make it more appealing to fans. Furthermore, it could throw the women’s final more into the spotlight. 

However, there will be obstacles that need to be addressed. The most significant for the Australian Open will be trying to ensure that their 48-hour recovery period between best-of-five-set men’s matches will still be followed. 

This year was the first time in history that the Melbourne major took place over 15 days with play starting on a Sunday. Organisers claimed that the move was done in order to prevent the number of late-night finishes. However, it has little effect on any matches that took place after the first round. 

It is throught that now the event is held over 15 days, it gives more room for organisers to schedule the men’s final for a Saturday. The proposal was discussed during this year’s Australian Open’s official debrief. 

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Grand Slam

It Wasn’t The Same Old Story On Sunday Down Under

Jannik Sinner won his first Grand Slam title on Sunday.

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(@janniksin - Twitter)

It’s been the same old story at the Australian Open for a long time in the men’s game.

One of the greats almost always would take the top prize Down Under. Either Novak Djokovic, Rafa Nadal, Roger Federer or even Stan Wawrinka always prevailed since 2006 at Melbourne.

And then came Jannik Sinner in 2024.

None of the other superstars were still around for Sunday’s final.

A DIFFERENT AUSTRALIAN OPEN

Yes, this time it was a different Australian Open.

But actually Sinner may have written his own story when he upended Djokovic in the semifinals. Without that experience, the slender Italian may not have been able to handle the pressure that Daniil Medvedev sent his way in the final.

Sinner was ready for the finish line after shocking Djokovic in the semifinals. It just took time to get there.

Sinner played within himself most of the last three sets of the final. A first-time Grand Slam finalist, Sinner played as if he belonged there in those three sets.

But, oh, those first two sets when Medvedev dominated play with his backhand from the middle of the court. Backhands usually are reserved for the backhand side of the court, but not with the tall Russian on the court.

SINNER DIDN’T PLAY HIS GAME AT FIRST

In a similar manner as women’s champion Aryna Sabalenka, Sinner followed up a big semifinal win with his own Australian Open title. Only, Sinner had to fight for five sets to accomplish his dream Down Under with a 3-6, 3-6, 6-4, 6-4, 6-3 victory over Medvedev.

Sinner appeared to play far differently from his victory over Djokovic when he controlled the court with his aggressive play and power.

This time, Sinner started things conservatively with few aggressive winners, repeatedly leaving the corners wide open for Medvedev’s crafty, but hard hit strokes. Medvedev made Sinner  pay a price with a style of play that was just the opposite.

Medvedev played close to the baseline and aggressively hopped on balls with his backhand in whip-lash fashion. He hardly had to move as he conserved energy.

THE STRATEGY ALMOST WORKED TO PERFECTION

Medvedev’s strategy worked like a charm until Sinner served the ninth game of the third set as Medvedev once needed only six points for a possible Grand Slam title. Sinner managed to overcome a deuce score to win that game.

Medvedev fell behind 30-0 serving the 10th game of the set and then Sinner got his first set point. Sinner made it stand up and it was a new game after that.

Sinner didn’t appear to be ready for Medvedev’s game the first two sets, but the Italian then came alive. He became prepared for Medvedev, even after losing the first two sets.

Of course, Sabalenka got her boost from a surprising, but solid win over talented Coco Graff in the women’s semifinals. Sabalenka then was never really challenged by Qinwen Zheng in the final.

Sinner’s final was much different.  He was somewhat lucky to escape with  a win.

Medvedev almost wrapped up the title in the ninth game, but it didn’t happen. As a result, Sinner may have started his own success story in Grand Slam finals.

James Beck was the 2003 winner of the USTA National Media Award  for print media. A 1995 MBA graduate of The Citadel, he can be reached at Jamesbecktennis@gmail.com.

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Australian Open Daily Preview: Daniil Medvedev Plays Jannik Sinner for the Men’s Singles Championship

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Daniil Medvedev during Friday’s semifinals (twitter.com/AustralianOpen)

The men’s singles and women’s doubles championship matches are on Sunday in Melbourne.

Across the last 10 hard court Majors, Daniil Medvedev has now advanced to six championship matches, half of which have come in Melbourne.  In those finals, Medvedev is a meek 1-4.  However, this is the first time Medvedev is looking across the net at a man not named Rafael Nadal or Novak Djokovic, the two winningest male singles players of all-time at Grand Slam events.

And Medvedev can thank Jannik Sinner for that, who for the third time in their last four meetings, defeated Djokovic in Friday’s semifinals to reach his first Major final.  Since adding Darren Cahill to his team 18 months ago, one of tennis’s best coaches of all-time, Sinner’s game has continually and significantly improved, most evident in his three victories over Djokovic since November.  On Sunday, the most dominant male player of this fortnight looks to break more new ground in his young career.

Earlier on Sunday, in the women’s doubles championship match, it’s Lyudmyla Kichenok and Jelena Ostapenko (11) vs. Su-Wei Hsieh and Elise Mertens (2).  This is a first Major final for Kichenok, and a first in doubles for Ostapenko.  Su-Wei has won seven Majors in doubles, including her first mixed title earlier this week, and is 7-1 at this stage of Majors.  Mertens has won three Majors in women’s doubles, including Wimbledon in 2021 alongside Su-Wei.


Jannik Sinner (4) vs. Daniil Medvedev (3) – Not Before 7:30pm on Rod Laver Arena

Through six rounds, Sinner has dropped just one of 19 sets, which came against Djokovic in the semis.  But even that match was a rather comfortable win for the Italian, who lost only six games in the three sets he claimed.  Jannik has not just been the best ATP player this fortnight: he’s been the best ATP player since the last Major, with a record of 26-2.  The 22-year-old is 10-4 in ATP finals, with this of course being by far the biggest of his career to date.

Medvedev endured a much more complicated path to this final, completing 25 out of a possible 30 sets, which included three five-setters.  Two of those came in the last two rounds, against Hubert Hurkacz and Sascha Zverev.  Daniil has spent six more hours on court than Jannik, and has played for over 11 hours during the second week alone.  He is 20-16 in ATP Finals, with all 20 titles coming at different events.  But Medvedev can be rather streaky in finals: after losing five in a row, he won seven of eight, yet has now lost his last three.

And those last two losses came at the hands of Sinner, who beat him in both Beijing and Vienna.  Jannik also defeated Daniil in the semifinals of the ATP Finals in November, though all three of those recent matches were tight.  Prior to that, Medvedev had dominated their head-to-head 6-0, which includes two finals earlier in 2023.  All ten of their meetings have taken place on hard courts, and this is their first at a Major.

Based on their recent history, as well as their individual form this fortnight, I favor Sinner to win his first Major on Sunday.  While he’ll surely be nervous in the biggest match of his life, and could experience an emotional letdown coming off ending Novak’s undefeated record of 20-0 in Australian Open semis and finals, Jannik will be the much fresher player on this day.  Plus, he will feel confident after those three recent wins over Daniil, who has a lot of scar tissue to overcome in Major finals.  And after facing Medvedev so much within the past year, Sinner is well-versed on how to take advantage of Daniil’s deep return position.


Sunday’s full Order of Play is here.

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