Steve Flink: Jannik Sinner Will Be World Number One By The End Of The Season - UBITENNIS
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Steve Flink: Jannik Sinner Will Be World Number One By The End Of The Season

Jannik Sinner is the new world number two and his rise could take him to the top of the world rankings by the end of the year.

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(@TheTennisLetter - Twitter)

And so the so-called “Sunshine Double” of Indian Wells followed by Miami is over, and the time has come for the leading players to turn their attention and adjust their games to the rigors of clay court tennis.

Both the BNP Paribas Open in California and the Miami Open in Florida were showcases for hard court tennis at its very best. The fans in both places witnessed inspiring speed, power and athleticism from a wide range of players, observed their share of spellbinding matches, and were present for springtime festivals that we look forward to each and every year.

This time around, Carlos Alcaraz snapped out of a slump at Indian Wells resoundingly, ousting Sascha Zverev in the quarterfinals, Jannik Sinner in the penultimate round and Daniil Medvedev in the final (for the second year in a row) to both defend his prestigious title and capture his first crown since Wimbledon last July. The essential Alcaraz sparkled once more on the slow courts in California and gave himself a much needed boost in the process of reasserting his authority. His triumph could not have been more timely. Alcaraz had not even reached a final since Cincinnati last August. His swagger was largely gone in recent months, but the victory at Indian Wells was a well deserved reward for his remarkable spirit, virtuosity and professionalism.

But in Miami Sinner won his third tournament of the four he has played in 2024, and came through convincingly. The win there has taken the 22-year-old Italian up to a career high No. 2 in the world. I have no doubt that Sinner will finish the 2024 season at the top of his profession, lodged at No. 1.

He took his first major in Melbourne at the Australian Open this year, and it is almost inevitable that he will win one more Grand Slam title in 2024–and perhaps two. His  growling self assurance and his invulnerability from the backcourt, coupled with a serve that has become the most reliable in the sport, have made Sinner the best tennis player in the world at the moment— regardless of the rankings.

Only once in Miami was Sinner in a precarious position. Facing an audacious Tallon Griekspoor in the third round, he dropped the opening set and was locked at 5-5 in the second set before sweeping eight of the last nine games to prevail 5-7, 7-5, 6-1 over the Dutchman. Sinner, who had opened with a 6-3, 6-4 win over countryman Andrea Vavassori, moved through and past the rest of his opposition ruthlessly. He cast aside Chris O’Connell 6-4, 6-3, easily dismissed Tomas Machac 6-4, 6-2, and then took on Daniil Medvedev.

This was an eagerly anticipated matchup. Medvedev had toppled Sinner the first six times they collided, upending the Italian once in 2020, two more times in 2021, once in 2022, and in their first two meetings last year. But since then Sinner has now defeated his rival from Russia five times in a row. The Sinner turnaround started in the final of Beijing last autumn when he was victorious in a pair of tie-breaks. He triumphed 7-6 (7), 4-6, 6-3 the next time they met in the Vienna final.

In the semifinals of the Nitto ATP Finals in Turin, Sinner was victorious over Medvedev 6-3, 6-7 (4), 6-1. And then they clashed in their most important match yet in Melbourne two months ago, with Sinner somehow rescuing himself from two sets down in the Australian Open final, coming through 3-6, 3-6, 6-4, 6-4, 6-3 to claim his first major title.

Despite the recent sway of history and the way Sinner had managed to overcome Medvedev in so many settings, the cognoscenti was not anticipating anything but another hard fought and closely contested encounter in Miami. Medvedev had played well, and was coming off a final round showing at Indian Wells. In all four of his previous losses to Sinner, Medvedev had been beaten in battles that hung delicately in the balance. Most of the game’s authorities were expecting a bruising skirmish once more.

Not so on this occasion. Medvedev had been ultra aggressive in Melbourne and, despite his much riskier approach from the baseline, nearly succeeded. He tried at the outset to employ similar tactics in Miami but this time Sinner seemed far better prepared for the onslaught. His defense was outstanding and, as soon as he could take control and go on offense, Sinner did just that. He took a 2-0 opening set lead but fell behind 15-40 in the third game. Once Sinner worked his way out of that jam, he never looked back. At 15-40 his body serve provoked an errant backhand return from Medvedev. On the following point, Medvedev had an opening but netted an inside out forehand. Sinner soon held.

He was unstoppable now, breaking in a long game for 4-0, and holding at 15 for 5-0. Although Medvedev held at last in the sixth game, Sinner closed out the set with authority, holding at love in the seventh game. Sinner commenced the second set with a dazzling display, breaking at love with a backhand return winner down the line off a first serve. He held at 15 for 2-0 before Medvedev gained some ground. The 28-year-old held in the third game and reached break point in the fourth. But Sinner erased it with a strong first serve setting up an unanswerable forehand down the line. Sinner followed with two aces for the hold to 3-1. From that juncture he took three of the next four games to complete a 6-1, 6-2 victory in just under 70 minutes. Sinner won 80% of his first serve points while Medvedev was at only 53%. On second serve points, Sinner took 59% while Medvedev was 20% lower.

No wonder Sinner came into the final with Grigor Dimitrov so calm, resolute and serene. He had every reason to be confident after losing only one match all year long.

And yet, Dimitrov was playing some of the best tennis of his life, perhaps even a better brand than he had shown the world back in 2017 when he finished the season at a career high No. 3 in the world after capturing the season-ending Nitto ATP Finals. Dimitrov had a scintillating autumn of 2023, surprising Alcaraz in Shanghai on his way to the semifinals. Then he made it to the final of the Paris Masters 1000 event in November, knocking out Medvedev, Alexander Bublik, Hubert Hurkacz and Stefanos Tsitsipas before losing to Novak Djokovic.

Earlier this season, Dimitrov won the ATP 250 tournament in Brisbane and was a finalist in Marseille. At 32, his maturity and match playing flexibility have been the twin motors of his success. In Miami, he was on the brink of defeat against the Chilean Alejandro Tabilo. Although Dimitrov released 23 aces in that match and did not lose his serve, he lost the first set in a tie-break and went into another tiebreak in the second. Dimitrov trailed 2-5 in that critical sequence. But he collected five points in a row for the set and completed a 6-7 (5), 7-6 (5), 6-2 win.

Having survived that harrowing skirmish, Dimitrov crushed Germany’s Yannick Hanfmann 6-1, 6-0. But he had another taxing battle in the round of 16 against Hurkacz. They went to a final set tie-break, and at 2-2 Hurkacz seemingly hit a winner. But his foot had touched the bottom of the net, and it cost him that point. Dimitrov came through that grueling contest 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 (3). The No. 11 seed was so spent after that rigorous contest that he did not even practice the following day.

But by the time he took on Alcaraz in the quarterfinals, Dimitrov was suitably rested and ready. In my view, he played the match of his career to strike down the Spaniard 6-2, 6-4. Dimitrov seemingly could not miss, coming over many backhand returns with impeccable timing, serving deceptively into the corners, taking control off his forehand and forcing Alcaraz into a lot of uncomfortable positions.

Dimitrov had a break point for 5-1 in the second set but missed a forehand return off a second serve. Alcaraz rallied to 4-4, but Dimitrov was unflustered. He held at 15 in the ninth game, producing a superb second serve kicker out wide on the line for 40-15 and closing that game with an ace down the T at 40-30. He then easily broke Alcaraz one last time to get the job done. The Spaniard later joked that he felt like a 13-year-old getting a tennis lesson in that duel. Dimitrov followed up with a three set win over Sascha Zverev, a player who had beaten him seven consecutive times. Dimitrov won that one 6-4, 6-7 (4), 6-4 without losing his serve across three sets.

And so the Bulgarian thoroughly earned his final round meeting with Sinner. Early on, he created his one and only chance against the man currently playing better tennis than anyone in the world. Dimitrov did not drop a point on serve in establishing a 2-1 lead, and then had a break point in the fourth game. He made a terrific return off a 128 MPH first serve from Sinner, and was gaining  traction in the rally before missing wide on an inside out forehand. Sinner held on for 2-2 and never looked back.

Dimitrov was down 15-40 in the fifth game but saved a break point there. But he could not escape at 30-40. Sinner connected impeccably with a forehand down the line passing shot, advancing to 3-2. He held at 15 for 4-2 with an ace. Dimitrov struggled through three deuces in the seventh game before holding for 3-4, saving two break points. But Sinner held at 30 for 5-3 and then broke for the set on another sparkling passing shot. This one was a backhand down the line beauty of a winner on the dead run.

The second set was no contest. Sinner won 16 of 19 points on serve, broke Dimitrov twice and finished off a polished and professional performance 6-3, 6-1. He has won 25 of his last 26 matches. The loss to Alcaraz was perhaps a jolt he needed to raise his motivation again. This was especially sweet for the Italian since he had not only lost the 2023 final to Medvedev but also the 2021 title round contest to Hurkacz.

So how are we to assess the combined events at Indian Wells and Miami? Medvedev played some tremendous matches in both tournaments and maintained his customary consistency, but was beaten by Alcaraz 7-6 (5), 6-1 in the Indian Wells final and then was taken apart by Sinner in the semifinal of Miami. Winning only three games in defeat had happened to him only twice before in his career. So the world No. 4 will not be feeling great about himself as he heads back out onto the clay. He did win the Italian Open last year but clay remains his worst surface. Despite being routed by Dimitrov in Miami, Alcaraz relishes competing on clay and will have a bright outlook because of his Indian Wells revival. Dimitrov is a formidable player on clay who will be riding high. Zverev, who had decent results at both Indian Wells and Miami, is always comfortable on clay.

Meanwhile, Novak Djokovic will be determined to make amends for a slow start in 2024 after a splendid 2023. He will make he presence known and there will be a larger sense of urgency than usual in his preparation for the French Open, where he has won two of the past three years and thrice altogether. And, of course, all eyes will be on Rafael Nadal as the greatest clay court player in the history of the game tries to find a path toward a fifteenth French Open title.

But no one will be more confident on clay than the redoubtable Sinner. His hard court results have been superior overall to those he has achieved on clay, but the fact remains that he knows what he is doing on the dirt. These are heady days for the Italian. He approaches every match fully believing in himself and his chances. He expects to win just about anytime he steps on a tennis court. Jannik Sinner is right where he wants to be at the moment, dominating the game with an uncluttered mind, enjoying what he is doing, and looking forward to stamping his authority on the game for as long as he possibly can.

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Wrist Injury Threatening To End Holger Rune’s Olympic Dream

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Holger Rune will have a second medical opinion on Monday before deciding if he is fit enough to play at the Olympic Games, according to his team. 

The Danish world No.17 recently retired from his quarter-final match at the Hamburg Open due to a knee injury. The hope at the time was that his withdrawal would be just a precautionary measure ahead of the Olympics. However, he is also dealing with a second issue that appears to be more serious.

According to TV 2 Sport, Rune has been struggling with a wrist issue and underwent a scan on Sunday which his mother Aneke says ‘doesn’t look promising.’ Aneke is also the manager of her son’s career. Rune’s Olympic dreams now rest on the outcome of a second medical expert that he will visit tomorrow who has a better understanding of the sport. 

“Unfortunately, it does not look promising after the first medical opinion after the review of the scan of the wrist,” Aneke Rune told TV 2 Sport.

“We are waiting for two tennis-specific doctors who will give a second opinion tomorrow (Monday). Tennis wrists look different from regular wrists, so we’ll hold out hope for one more day.” 

Rune is one of three Danish players entered into the Olympic tennis event along with Caroline Wozniacki and Clara Tauson. The country has only won one medal in tennis before which was at the 1912 Games when Sofie Castenschiold won silver in the women’s indoor singles event. 

So far this season, the 21-year-old has won 27 matches on the Tour but is yet to claim a title. He reached the final of the Brisbane International and then the semi-finals of three more events. In the Grand Slams, he made it to the fourth round of the French Open and Wimbledon. 

It is not known when a final decision regarding Rune’s participation in Paris will be made.

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Hubert Hurkacz Undergoes ‘Knee Procedure’ Ahead of Olympic Bid

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Poland’s top player on the ATP Tour is not giving up on his dream of winning a medal at the Olympic Games despite recently undergoing a medical procedure.

World No.7 Hubert Hurkacz suffered a knee injury during his second round clash at Wimbledon against France’s Arthur Fils. In the fourth set tiebreak of their clash, Hurkacz dived for a shot but landed badly on his knee and required on-court medical attention. He then played two more points before retiring from the match. 

In a social media post published on Wednesday, the  27-year-old confirmed he underwent a procedure on his knee earlier this week but didn’t provide any further details.  Although Hurkacz has stated his intention to play at the upcoming Olympic Games in Paris, where the tennis event will be held on the clay at Roland Garros. 

“I had a knee procedure this Monday, but I’m feeling better already and my team and are dedicating extensive time each day to the rehab process.” He wrote on Instagram. 

“It’s a dream for every athlete to represent their country at the Olympics, and I want to make sure I am fully fit and ready before making the final decision to step on court. The aim is not only to participate, but to win a medal for my country.”

So far this season Hurkacz has won 34 out of 48 matches played on the Tour. He won the Estoril Open in April and was runner-up to Jannik Sinner in Halle. 

The Olympic tennis event is scheduled to begin a week Saturday on July 27th. Poland is yet to win a medal in the event but expectations are high with women’s No.1 Iga Swiatek also taking part. 

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Motivation, Pressure And Expectations – Novak Djokovic Targets History At Wimbledon

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image via x.com/wimbledon

Novak Djokovic has broken numerous records throughout his career but he still feels the pressure of trying to make history in the sport. 

The world No.2 is through to his 10th Wimbledon final where he will play Carlos Alcaraz, who beat him at this stage of the tournament 12 months ago. There is plenty on the line for the Serbian who could equal Roger Federer’s record for most men’s titles won at SW19 and break the overall record for most major singles won in the sport if he triumphs over the Spaniard. Djokovic currently has 24 Grand Slam trophies to his name which is the same as Margaret Court, who won some of her titles before the Open Era started. 

“Obviously I’m aware that Roger [Federer] holds eight Wimbledons. I hold seven. History is on the line.” Djokovic said on Friday after beating Lorenzo Musetti.

“Also, the 25th potential Grand Slam. Of course, it serves as a great motivation, but at the same time it’s also a lot of pressure and expectations.”

Coming into Wimbledon, there had been doubts over Djokovic’s form after he underwent surgery to treat a knee injury he suffered at the French Open. However, he has defied the odds to reach the final. His run has also seen him beat Alexi Popyrin and Holger Rune before getting a walkover in the quarter-finals from Alex de Minaur, who sustained an injury during the tournament. Then on Friday, he overcame a spirited Musetti in three sets. 

Despite the challenge, Djokovic has insisted that his expectations to do well are always high no matter what the situation is. During what has been a roller-coaster first six months of the season, he is yet to win a title this year or beat a player currently ranked in the top 10. Although he will achieve both of these if her beats Alcaraz on Sunday. 

“Every time I step out on the court now, even though I’m 37 and competing with the 21-year-olds, I still expect myself to win most of the matches, and people expect me to win, whatever, 99% of the matches that I play.” He said.

“I always have to come out on the court and perform my best in order to still be at the level with Carlos [Alcaraz] or Jannik [Sinner] or Sascha [Zverev] or any of those guys, Daniil [Medvedev]. 

“This year hasn’t been that successful for me. It’s probably the weakest results the first six months I’ve had in many years. That’s okay. I had to adapt and accept that and really try to find also way out from the injury that I had and kind of regroup.”

Djokovic hopes that a Wimbledon win will help turn his season around like it has done in the past for him. 

“Wimbledon historically there’s been seasons where I wasn’t maybe playing at a desired level, but then I would win a Wimbledon title and then things would change.” He commented.

“For example, that was the case in 2018 when I had elbow surgery earlier in the year, dropped my rankings out of top 20, losing in fourth round of Australian Open, I think it was quarters of Roland-Garros, and just not playing the tennis that I want to play. Then I won Wimbledon and then won US Open and then later on became No.1 very soon.”

Meanwhile, 21-year-old Alcaraz is hoping to stop Djokovic in his tracks. Should he defend his title at Wimbledon, he would become the first player outside the Big Three to do so since Pete Sampras more than 20 years ago. He has won their only previous meeting on the grass but trails their head-to-head 3-2. 

“I’m sure he knows what he has to do to beat me,” said Alcaraz.

“But I’m ready to take that challenge and I’m ready to do it well.”

When the two players take to the court to play in the Wimbledon final, Djokovic will be 15 years and 348 days older than Alcaraz. Making it the largest age gap in a men’s Grand Slam final since the 1974 US Open. Whoever is victorious will receive £2,700,000 in prize money. 

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