Wimbledon Daily Preview: The Ladies’ Semifinals - UBITENNIS

Wimbledon Daily Preview: The Ladies’ Semifinals

By Matthew Marolf
8 Min Read
Coco Gauff on Tuesday in London (photo via twitter.com/Wimbledon)

Day 11 at The Championships hosts the semifinals in ladies’ singles and gentlemen’s doubles, as well as the championship match in mixed doubles.

The ladies’ singles semifinals feature four players making their debut at this stage of Wimbledon, though all four have been playing superbly this season.  Coco Gauff, already a two-time Major champion in singles, takes on 2023 Roland Garros runner-up Karolina Muchova.  And in a match between two players looking to reach their first championship match at a Major, Marta Kostyuk plays Linda Noskova.

Thursday also provides three prominent matches in doubles.  The gentlemen’s doubles semifinals include many multi-time Major champs, and the championship match in mixed doubles features four players who have all have experience in a Major final.

Marcelo Arevalo and Mate Pavic (6) vs. Kevin Krawietz and Tim Puetz (7) – 1:00pm on No.1 Court

Arevalo and Pavic won Roland Garros two years ago, and they are on an eight-match winning streak on grass, after taking the title last month at Queen’s Club.  Krawietz and Puetz are still looking for their first Major as a team, and are looking to reach their second Major final, after first doing so at the 2024 US Open.  They won two titles this season on clay, defeating Arevalo and Pavic in the championship match of the Monte Carlo Masters.

Both teams have dropped two sets through four matches this fortnight.  In the last round, Arevalo and Pavic notably took out the defending champions, Julian Cash and Lloyd Glasspool.

Karolina Muchova (10) vs. Coco Gauff (7) – 1:30pm on Centre Court

photo via twitter.com/Wimbledon

Gauff’s grit and clutch play continues to impress: despite lacking her best tennis through much of this event, she’s now won four three-setters in a row.  As per Tennis Abstract, Gauff is 20-10 in deciding sets across the past 52 weeks.  This is Coco’s sixth Major semifinal, with a record of 3-2 in her previous appearances at other Majors.

Muchova has dropped only one set thus far, and is on a nine-match winning streak, as she was the champion in Bad Homburg the week before Wimbledon began.  Like Gauff, Muchova has now reached the semifinals of all four Majors, though she holds a record of 1-3 in Major semifinals.  That includes a straight-set loss to Gauff at the 2023 US Open.

The American has actually dominated her head-to-head against the Czech.  Gauff claimed all of their first six meetings, losing only one set across those six matches, with all of them on hard courts.  But in their seventh and most recent clash, which occurred just a few months ago in Stuttgart on clay, Muchova notched her first victory over Gauff in three sets.  However, their other two 2026 encounters, both on hard courts, went to Gauff.  At the Australian Open in January, Coco prevailed in three, before she thumped Karolina 6-1, 6-1 in the semifinals of Miami.

In their first match on grass, Muchova will assumedly be the more comfortable player, as her game is perfectly suited for this surface.  In an extremely tough match to call, I give an ever-so-slight edge to Muchova.  Despite their shared history being so decidedly in Gauff’s favor, Muchova has been the better player through five rounds of this tournament.  And the Czech will take some much-needed confidence from finally defeating Gauff in their last meeting.

Harri Heliovaara and Henry Patten (1) vs. Thanasi Kokkinakis and Aleksandar Kovasevic – Second on No.1 Court

Heliovaara and Patten won this title in 2024, saving three championship points in a memorable final.  They then went on to win another Major at the 2025 Australian Open.  This is their third Major semifinal, so every time they’ve advanced this far at a Major, they’ve won the title.  They’ve endured a complicated path to this semi, requiring a third-set tiebreak in all of the last three rounds.

Kokkinakis and Kovasevic are the big surprise of this gentlemen’s doubles draw, as they were alternates without a spot in the draw when the tournament began.  Yet they’ve reached this semifinal with the loss of just one set, and they’ve already taken out three seeded teams.  Kokkinakis won the men’s doubles title at the 2022 Australian Open, while Kovasevic only owned two tour-level wins in doubles prior to this event.

Marta Kostyuk (12) vs. Linda Noskova (9) – Second on Centre Court

photo via twitter.com/Wimbledon

Since the start of the clay court season, Kostyuk has gone 21-1, with two titles and achieving her first two Major semifinals.  Much was expected of the Ukrainian after winning the Australian Open girls’ singles title in 2017, and a year later at the age of 15, reaching the third round of the main draw in Melbourne.  In 2026, her game has finally fully clicked.  She’s dropped two sets en route to this semifinal, and Kostyuk easily dispatched of former finalist Jasmine Paolini in Wednesday’s quarterfinals.

Noskova has also lost two sets, and has now defeated three seeded players in a row (Cirstea, Keys, Mertens).  She’s gone 10-1 this past month on grass, as she looks to set up a possible all-Czech final if both she and Muchova prevail.  Noskova plays a similarly aggressive style to that of Kostyuk, so the woman who plays more cleanly on Thursday will likely prevail.

Their only prior encounter took place this year in Madrid on clay, with Kostyuk winning in straights, on her way to the biggest title of her career.  And based on her recent form, I favor Kostyuk to advance to her first Major final.

Marc Polmans and Storm Hunter vs. Marcelo Arevalo and Jelena Ostapenko (2) – Third on Centre Court

Arevalo will be pulling double duty on Thursday, as he goes for his first Major title in mixed doubles, and add it to the two Majors he’s won in men’s doubles.  He is a previous runner-up in mixed doubles from the 2021 US Open.  Ostapenko of course won the Roland Garros women’s singles title back in 2017, and won the US Open women’s doubles title in 2024.  She was also the runner-up here in 2019, alongside Robert Lindstedt.

Polmans was so close to earning his first Major title six months ago in Melbourne, losing in the men’s doubles final.  Hunter won a Major in mixed at the 2022 US Open, and was a runner-up here in the 2023 ladies’ doubles draw, alongside Elise Mertens.


Thursday’s full Order of Play is here.

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