Indian Wells Daily Preview: The Men’s Semifinals - UBITENNIS

Indian Wells Daily Preview: The Men’s Semifinals

By Matthew Marolf
8 Min Read
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The men’s singles semifinals will be played on Saturday, as will all three championship matches in doubles.

We have four very familiar faces in the men’s singles semifinals, as all four men have won five or more Masters 1000 titles.  The first semifinal sees reigning Wimbledon champion Jannik Sinner take on three-time Major runner-up Alexander Zverev.  The second sees reigning Roland Garros, US Open, and Australian Open champ Carlos Alcaraz face a resurgent Daniil Medvedev

Plus, the finals in all three disciplines of doubles will be staged on Saturday.

Here’s a rundown of all five matches on Saturday (all times local):

Katerina Siniakova and Taylor Townsend (3) vs. Anna Danilina and Aleksandra Krunic (5) – 11:00am on Stadium 1

Siniakova and Townsend are yet to drop a set, which includes a dominant semifinal victory over the top seeds, Jasmine Paolini and Sara Errani.  They are vying for their second WTA 1000 title as a team, and have already paired to win two Majors. 

Danilina and Krunic have also procured all eight sets they’ve contested to this stage, extending their tremendous start to the season.  They were finalists at the Australian Open, and won the year’s first WTA 1000 tournament in Dubai.

This women’s doubles championship match is a rematch from the quarterfinals this past January in Melbourne, where Danilina and Krunic prevailed 6-0 in the third.

Gabriela Dabrowski and Lloyd Glasspool (1) vs. Belinda Bencic and Flavio Cobolli – 12:30pm on Stadium 2

The mixed doubles final features a team of doubles specialists against a team of singles specialists.  Dabrowski owns four Major titles between women’s and mixed doubles, while Glasspool earned his first Major title last summer at Wimbledon, as part of the first all-British pairing to win that title since 1936.  Bencic is an Olympic gold medalist and former World No.4 in singles, while Cobolli currently sits at a career-ranking singles ranking of No.15, thanks to a title run just a few weeks ago in Acapulco.

Alexander Zverev (4) vs. Jannik Sinner (2) – Not Before 1:30pm on Stadium 1

This will be the 11th installment of what has been a streaky rivalry between these two.  After Sinner claimed their first meeting, Zverev claimed the next four, which included a five-set victory in the fourth round of the 2023 US Open.  But that remains the German’s last victory over the Italian, as Sinner has now beaten Zverev five times in a row.  They played four times last season alone, most notably in the Australian Open final, with Jannik only losing one set across those four matches.

But Sinner is coming off two disappointing results to start off 2026.  In Melbourne, he was upset in the semifinals by Novak Djokovic in five sets.  The concept of Djokovic every being an underdog at the Australian Open is hard to process, but the 38-year-old was defintely the underdog at this stage of his career, given how Sinner and Alcaraz have dominated the last few years at the Majors.  Then in Doha, Jannik suffered a three-set loss at the hands of Jakub Mensik in the quarterfinals.  However, Sinner has advanced comfortably through four rounds this fortnight, without the loss of a set.

Zverev also experienced a heartbreaking five-set loss in January’s Australian Open semifinals, which turned into a five-and-a-half hour epic contest against Alcaraz.  That only added another layer of scar tissue for Zverev, as it’s hard to keep track of just how many big matches he has now lost in dramatic fashion.  Sascha also went 0-3 last year in Masters 1000 semifinals.  So based on recent history, both individually and shared, Sinner is the clear favorite in Saturday’s semifinals.  Despite his two recent losses, Jannik remains the best hard court player in the world.  Since the start of 2024, as per Tennis Abstract, he’s gone 103-8 on this surface.

Carlos Alcaraz (1) vs. Daniil Medvedev (11) – Not Before 3:00pm on Stadium 1

Carlos Alcaraz (@BNPPARIBASOPRN - X)
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Alcaraz is a perfect 16-0 to start off the season, and across those 16 matches, he has only allowed his opposition a total of five sets.  The World No.1 has flourished despite the offseason exit of his former coach, Juan Carlos Ferrero.  Carlitos is a two-time champion in Indian Wells, back in 2023 and 2024, and is an excellent 9-3 in Masters 1000 semifinals.

Six months ago, Medvedev watched his ranking drop to as low as No.18 in the world, as he went nearly two-and-a-half years without winning a title.  But that changed at the end of 2025, when he won an indoor title in Almaty, and continued during 2026, with titles in both Brisbane and Dubai.  Daniil is now 17-3 on the year, and is on an eight-match winning streak, taking all 16 sets he’s played during that span without even being pushed to a tiebreak.

But this matchup has proven to be a challenging one for Medvedev.  Alcaraz has now won six of their eight clashes, including their last four.  He also defeated Medvedev in straight sets in both the 2023 and 2024 finals at this event.  However, I expect a tighter affair on Saturday, and I’m curious to see how this more confident version of Medvedev now measures up against the best player in the world.  I’m also curious to see how long Alcaraz can keep his perfect record alive this season.  So while Carlitos remains the favorite, this should be a fascinating semifinal.

Guido Andreozzi and Manuel Guinard vs. Arthur Rinderknech and Valentin Vacherot – Not Before 6:00pm on Staidum 1

The day will end with the men’s doubles championship match, featuring two unseeded teams.  Andreozzi and Guinard have already upset two of the top four seeds in back-to-back rounds: Harrison and Skupski in the quarterfinals, and Granollers and Zeballos in the semifinals.  They now play for their first ATP title as a team.

Rinderknech and Vacherot are cousins who famously both reached the singles final last October in Shangahi, combining to take out 10 of the 32 seeds in that draw.  Vacherot would defeat Rinderknech in that final, becoming the lowest-ranked player to ever win a Masters 1000 tournament.  Now these family members have teamed up to reach their maiden 1000-level doubles final, though unlike their opponents on Saturday, they are yet to face a seeded team.


Saturday’s full Order of Play is here.

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