The quarterfinals conclude on Wednesday in Paris.
Day 11 begins with a battle between two Major champions from the United States, as 2023 US Open champ Coco Gauff takes on 2025 Australian Open champ Madison Keys. And the day ends with 24-time Major champ Novak Djokovic taking on three-time Major runner-up Alexander Zverev.
In between those two quarterfinals, Mirra Andreeva and Jannik Sinner will face the two biggest surprises of this fortnight. Andreeva plays the 361st -ranked player in the world, French wild card Lois Boisson, and Sinner plays 62nd-ranked Alexander Bublik.
Plus, Wednesday hosts the last of the men’s and women’s doubles quarterfinals, as well as both mixed doubles semifinals.
Madison Keys (7) vs. Coco Gauff (2) – 11:00am on Court Philippe-Chatrier
This is a fifth consecutive Roland Garros quarterfinal for Gauff, a round in which she owns a record of 2-2. Across all Majors, Coco is 4-4 in quarterfinals. She’s now 28-8 on the year overall, and 15-3 on clay, having advanced to back-to-back finals in Madrid and Rome. Gauff is yet to drop a set through four rounds in Paris.
Keys is 11-0 this year at Majors, after claiming her maiden Slam title this past January in Melbourne. She saved match points two rounds ago against Sofia Kenin, the only round in which she’s lost a set to this stage. Madison is a strong 28-6 on the year, and 9-3 on clay. She is 1-1 in French Open quarterfinals, and 7-4 in Major quarterfinals.
Keys leads their head-to-head 3-2, and won their two most recent meetings. That includes their only clay court match, which was a three-set victory for Madison a year ago in Madrid. Gauff’s two victories both came on hard courts.
The courts in Madrid famously play much more quickly than the courts in Paris. The slower conditions favor Gauff, as her game is not as reliant on power as that of Keys. And as stellar as Madison’s season has been, Coco has been the better player on this surface. So I give Gauff the edge to reach her third Roland Garros semifinal.
Mirra Andreeva (6) vs. Lois Boisson (WC) – Second on Court Philippe-Chatrier
Like Gauff, Andreeva has won all eight sets she’s contested. That brings her 2025 record to 31-7, and 11-3 on clay. This is Mirra’s second Major quarterfinal, both of which have come in Paris. A year ago in this round, she upset Aryna Sabalenka in a dramatic three-setter.
Boisson is a 22-year-old Frenchwoman who was slated to make her Major debut at her home Slam last year, but she tore her ACL a week before this tournament began. Prior to the injury, which forced her to miss nine months of competition, Lois had claimed four lower-level clay court titles within the span of two months. And coming into this year’s event, she won another lower-level title on this surface.
As we saw on Monday, when she came from a set down to upset third-seeded Jessica Pegula in one of the most exciting matches of the tournament, Boisson loves to employ drop shots and lobs, variety the French crowd ate up. But she also has a pretty strong serve and forehand. That was not Lois’ first upset of the fortnight, as in the first round she eliminated the 24th seed, Elise Mertens.
Of course, Andreeva is a huge favorite in their first career meeting. However, Chatrier will be full of vociferous French fans, who will be eager to involve themselves in the match. Plus, Lois’ style can prove to be incredibly frustrating, and as much as Mirra has matured this past year, we’ve seen her become easily flustered on court in the past. So another Boisson upset on Chatrier does not feel completely out of the question.
Jannik Sinner (1) vs. Alexander Bublik – Third on Court Philippe-Chatrier
Despite Bublik’s ranking being much higher than Boisson’s, and Alexander being a recent top 20 player, an upset here actually feels less plausible. Yes, on Monday, Bublik was most impressive in out-serving Jack Draper, one of the ATP’s best servers, to come back from a set down and achieve his first Major quarterfinal. But taking three sets off the ever-steady Jannik Sinner has become one of the sport’s toughest tasks, a task only Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev have accomplished within the past 18 months. And both required five sets to do so.
Sinner is now 16-1 this season, and 9-1 on clay, since returning from his three-month suspension. He’s claimed all 12 sets he’s played thus far in Paris, and averaged only 2.5 games lost per set. This is Jannik’s sixth consecutive Major quarterfinal, and he’s won four of his last five.
Prior to this run, Bublik’s ranking had dropped from No.17 a year ago to No.62, as he was 13-26 at tour level across the past 52 weeks (as per Tennis Abstract). Yet he’s now pulled off two top 10 upsets to this stage, over Draper as well as Alex de Minaur. But there’s just not much he can do to threaten Sinner, and maintaining his winner-to-unforced error ratio from the last round (68 winners, 39 unforced errors) will be nearly impossible. So the Italian should be strongly favored to advance.
Alexander Zverev (3) vs. Novak Djokovic (6) – Not Before 8:15pm on Court Philippe-Chatrier
Djokovic leads this head-to-head 8-5 overall, but they’ve split two meetings on clay, though they haven’t played on this surface since the same round of this same event six years ago. At Majors, Novak leads 3-1, with Sascha’s only win coming this past January in Melbourne, where Djokovic retired after the first set due to injury.
It’s been an odd year for Djokovic, between the injury and some uncharacteristic losses. But he’s now 20-7 this season, and has built an eight-match winning streak, after claiming his 100th career title in Geneva. Like Sinner, he hasn’t lost a set yet in Paris, though he’s also yet to face a seeded player. This is his mind-boggling 59th Major quarterfinal, a round in which he is 48-10 lifetime. However, five of those 10 losses have come at this tournament, and he was forced to withdraw in this round a year ago due to a knee injury.
Zverev has struggled since losing his third Major final in Australia, with early losses at all five Masters 1000 tournament this season. Yet he’s played well in Paris, dropping only one set. And he’ll be fully fresh for this quarterfinal, his seventh at Roland Garros, after receiving a mid-match retirement on Monday. Sascha lost his first two Roland Garros quarterfinals, but he’s now won his last four.
On Wednesday night, I give the slight edge to Djokovic. This is the most confident version of Novak that we’ve seen this year, while Sascha’s confidence level remains low. And the slower conditions on clay, especially on what is forecast to be a cooler evening in Paris, are usually more to Novak’s liking than Sascha’s, as Zverev’s serve will be less imposing.
Other Notable Matches on Wednesday:
Katerina Siniakova and Taylor Townsend (1) vs. Anna Danilina and Aleksandra Krunic – Siniakova and Townsend are the reigning Wimbledon and Australian Open champions, and are vying for their fourth consecutive Major semifinal. Danilina and Krunic are a new partnership that already took out two top 10 seeds.
Ivan Dodig and Orlando Luz vs. Marcel Granollers and Horacio Zeballos (5) – Granollers and Zeballos have won two clay court titles this season, and are two-time Wimbledon champs. Dodig is a four-time Roland Garros champ, with a pair of titles in both men’s doubles and mixed doubles. He and Luz are a new team who have required three sets in each of their first three rounds, though they upset the third-seeded team of Krawietz and Puetz.
Sara Errani and Andrea Vavassori (3) vs. Shuai Zhang and Marcelo Arevalo (2) – Errani and Vavassori are the reigning US Open champs. Shuai owns two Major titles in women’s doubles, while Arevalo is a two-time and defending Roland Garros champion in men’s doubles.
Desirae Krawczyk and Neal Skupski vs. Taylor Townsend and Evan King (4) – Townsend was a runner-up to Errani and Vavassori in mixed doubles at last summer’s US Open, alongside the now-retired Donald Young. Krawczyk and Skupski have won two Majors as a team, both at Wimbledon.
Wednesday’s full Order of Play is here.
