Indian Wells Daily Preview: Championship Sunday Features Two Blockbuster Finals - UBITENNIS
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Indian Wells Daily Preview: Championship Sunday Features Two Blockbuster Finals

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Carlos Alcaraz is playing for No.1 on Sunday (twitter.com/bnpparibasopen)

In a rematch on an extremely competitive Australian Open championship match, Aryna Sabalenka plays Elena Rybakina in the women’s singles final on Sunday.  And the men’s final features only the second career meeting between two of the ATP’s best players, as Carlos Alcaraz vies to regain the World No.1 Ranking against Daniil Medvedev, who is on a 19-match winning streak.


Elena Rybakina (10) vs. Aryna Sabalenka (2) – 1:00pm on Stadium 1

Australian Open champion Aryna Sabalenka is now 17-1 in 2023, with her only loss coming at the hands of Barbora Krejcikova in the quarterfinals of Dubai.  Sabalenka has only dropped one set at this event, which also came at the hands of Krejcikova.  A year after she was plagued by serving issues, her serve is back to being a huge weapon, and Aryna is playing more confident, dominant tennis than ever before.

Wimbledon champion Elena Rybakina is now 15-4 on 2023, and her and Sabalenka lead the WTA Race this season.  Rybakina has also only dropped one set this fortnight, which also came at the hands of a Czech player (Karolina Muchova).  In the semifinals, she dominated Iga Swiatek 6-2, 6-2, defeating the World No.1 for the second time this year.

Sabalenka is an undefeated 4-0 against Rybakina, yet all four of those contests have gone the distance.  That includes a 2021 Wimbledon meeting, and of course the Australian Open final, where Aryna prevailed 6-4 in the third.  In Melbourne, Sabakenka was able to dictate play between these two big hitters, striking twice as many aces and 20 more winners than Rybakina.  But in the set that Elena won, those differentials were much closer, with both players hitting five aces, and Aryna hitting only five more winners, and almost just as many unforced errors.

With this matchup headlining the two biggest events thus far in 2023, we could be looking at the WTA’s new premier rivalry, especially since both players are threats on all surfaces.  Based on their history, as well as Sabalenka’s current level, I like Aryna to defeat Elena again on Sunday.


Carlos Alcaraz (1) vs. Daniil Medvedev (5) – Not Before 4:00pm on Stadium 1

Alcaraz is 13-1 on the year, and appears to be fully healthy despite missing the Australian Open due to injury.  His only loss came against Cam Norrie in the final of Rio, in a match during which he reaggravated a right leg injury.  But he has not lost a set this week, and has spent several less hours on court during this tournament than his opponent on Sunday.

Medvedev is 24-2 on the year, and leads the ATP in match wins.  He is the first player to reach four consecutive ATP finals since Andy Murray in 2016.  Daniil has advanced to his first-ever Masters 1000 final to occur within the first six months of the calendar year despite an ankle injury, and despite his vocal dislike of the court speed at Indian Wells.

Their only previous encounter occurred two years ago in the second round of Wimbledon, with Medvedev comfortably winning in straight sets.  But Alcaraz was not the fully-developed player he is now, and this slower court surface will assumedly favor the speed of the Spaniard, who grew up playing on clay courts and is much more comfortable on slower courts.

This should be a compelling matchup between the two men who cover more of the court than any other player, and consistently flabbergast the opposition by hitting winners from seemingly impossible places.  So will Alcaraz regain the No.1 ranking from Novak Djokovic, or will Medvedev extend his winning streak to 20?  On this slower-playing hard court, Carlitos should be favored to win his third Masters 1000 title.

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Carlos Alcaraz In Doubt For Madrid Open Title Defence

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Carlos Alcaraz admits that he is not certain if he will be ready in time to play at next week’s Madrid Masters.

The 20-year-old is yet to play a clay tournament in Europe due to a forearm injury which ruled him out of both Monte Carlo and Barcelona. He hurt his right arm whilst training shortly before the Monte Carlo event began. 

It is the latest in a series of injury issues that has affected Alcaraz throughout his young career. Since the start of 2023, he has also been derailed by issues with his abdominal, hamstring, post-traumatic arthritis in his left hand and muscular discomfort in his spine. 

“My feeling isn’t right, but it is what it is. Now I’m fully focused on recovery and I have a little more time,” Alcaraz told reporters in Barcelona on Monday.
“My goal is to try and go to the Madrid Open, but at the moment nothing is certain. I was given specific recovery times and I’ve respected them, but I haven’t felt good. I don’t want to get ahead of myself.
“I can’t say I’ll be 100% in Madrid, but that’s my intention. We’ll train and do everything we can so that the feelings improve so I can play a match … It’s also a very special tournament for me.”

Alcaraz has won the past two editions of the Madrid Open, which is classed as a Masters 1000 event. In 2022 he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final and then 12 months later he beat Jan-Lennard Struff in the title match.

The setback comes after what has been a steady start to the year for Alcaraz who has reached the quarter-finals or better in four out of five tournaments played. He successfully defended his title in Indian Wells and then reached the semi-finals in Miami. 

Should he not play in Madrid, it is likely that the Spaniard will lose his No.2 spot to Jannik Sinner who is just over 100 points behind him in the standings. He will still have the chance to play a clay-court event before the French Open with Rome taking place early next month. 

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Olympic Qualification Is Not the Only Goal For French Veteran Gael Monfils

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Gael Monfils (image via https://twitter.com/atptour)

Gael Monfils admits he doesn’t have too many years left on the Tour but this doesn’t mean his targets are any less ambitious. 

The 37-year-old has enjoyed a rapid rise up the rankings over the past 12 months following battles with injury. At his lowest, he was ranked 394th last May but is now in 40th position. As a result, he is closing on securing a place in the Olympic Games which is being held in his home country of France for the first time since 1924. The tennis event will be staged at Roland Garros. 

“When I was 400, I was thinking the Olympics would be great, but it’s going to be tough,” Monfils told reporters on Tuesday. 
“There are younger players playing well. If I don’t qualify, I don’t mind. It will just mean I’m very close to the ranking I want to be. That ranking will allow me to find another goal.”

Monfils is already a three-time Olympian but has never won a medal at the event. He reached the quarter-finals of the singles tournament twice in 2008 and 2016. 

Another goal of Frenchmen is the Wimbledon championships which concludes just three weeks before the Olympics begin. The proximity of these tournaments will be a challenge to all players who will be going from playing on clay to grass and then back to clay again. 

“I really want to go and play Wimbledon. I don’t have so many Wimbledons to play in the future. The Olympics is one goal, not the only goal.” Monfils states.
“My dream is of course to be part of the Olympics. I played three times at the Olympics. I’d like to be there again. But I also really want to do well in Wimbledon this year. To reach my goal, it has to be including Wimbledon.” He added. 

Monfils is currently playing at the Monte Carlo Masters where he beat Aleksandar Vukic in his opening match. In the next round, he will take on Daniil Medvedev in what will be their first meeting since 2022. He leads their head-to-head 2-1. 

Medvedev has openly spoken about his roller-coaster relationship with playing on the clay. He admits it is not his favourite surface but how much of a factor could this be in his upcoming clash with Monfils?

“Of course, it’s not his favourite one, but he’s still Daniil Medvedev, and whatever the surface, it’s always very complicated to play him,” Monfils concludes. 

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Matteo Berrettini wins in Marrakech displaying quality tennis

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Matteo Berrettini - Marrakech 2024 (photo X @ATPTour_ES)

Matteo Berrettini defeats Roberto Carballes Baena in straight sets, 75 62, and proves that his comeback is well grounded  

If life is often considered a continuous narrative, it may be no coincidence that today Matteo Berrettini’s comeback journey intersescted Carballes Baena, a player he had faced twice in straight tournaments, Florence and Naples in October 2022, shortly before plunging into his annus horribilis, an injury-plagued 2023.

Just like resuming the story from where it was left.

Carballes Baena, the defending champion, got off to a sharper start, holding serve with ease and earning a first break point in the second game. Berrettini averted the threat by hammering down three serves but lost his service two games later.

Doubts on the Italian’s recovery from his energy-draining semifinal may have been starting to come afloat. However Berrettini broke back immediately, unsettling the Spaniard’s consistency with changes of pace and alternating lifted and sliced backhands.

The next six games neatly followed serve. Figures witness how close the match was. After 45 minutes the scoreboard read 5 games all, and stats reported 27 points apiece.

The eleventh game was to be crucial. Carballes Baena netted two forehands, while trying to hit through the Italian’s skidding spins and conceded a break point. Berrettini followed up two massive forehands with a delicate, unreachable drop shot and secured the break.

Carballes Baena was far from discouraged, and fired two forehand winners dashing to 0 40  with the Italian serving for the set.

Berrettini was lucky to save the first break point with a forehand that pinched the top of the net, and trickled over. Then he hit two winning first serves to draw even. Then again two first serves paired with their loyal forehand winner: Berrettini’s copyright gamepattern sealed a 59 minute first set.

The match seemed about to swing round at the very start of the second set when Carballes Baena had three break points and was winning all the longer rallies. Once more Berrettini got out of trouble thanks to his serve. Carballes Baena’s disappointment turned into frustration after he failed to put away two quite comfortable smashes and lost his service immediately after.  

Unforced errors were seeping into the Spaniard’s game and when Berrettini won a 16-shot rally with a stunning crosscourt forehand on the stretch and went on to grab a two-break lead, the match appeared to have taken its final twist.

Berrettini did not falter when serving for the match at 5 2, despite an unforced error on the first point. Three first serves chauffeured him to two match points.

Carballes Baena only succeeded in bravely saving the first, well steering the rally. But the 2021 Wimbledon finalist produced a massive serve out wide and joyfully lifted his arms to the sky, for a most emotional victory. It means so much to a player whose talent and career have been incessantly diminished by injuries.

It’s been a tough last couple of years” Matteo Berrettini said, holding the trophy. “Thanks to my team I was able to overcome all the tough moments my body didn’t allow me to play. I thank you and all the people that made my comeback possible: all my friends and my family, the people that were with me all the time when I was sad, injured and I didn’t think I could make it.”

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